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Now, next, and beyond: Tracking need-to-know trends at the intersection of business and technology

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Radar Trends to Watch: October 2026

Published: October 6, 2026 10:54

In addition to the nearly constant stream of model releases, in September we’ve seen price drops, new kinds of models, proofs of long-standing problems in mathematics, and continued investigations into models escaping their sandboxes. (Axios reports…

Radar Trends to Watch: September 2026

Published: September 1, 2026 10:55

Coauthored with Claude Midway through each month, I think “The next Trends is going to be small. Not much is happening.” This is the first time that I’ve been right. Was everyone on vacation in August? Am I becoming jaded? There were many model releases,…

Radar Trends to Watch: August 2026

Published: August 4, 2026 10:56

Coauthored with Claude Unrestricted global access to frontier AI technology is ending. The US government has taken steps to control who can use the most advanced models developed by American companies. While Claude Fable and the GPT-5.6 models are now open…

Radar Trends to Watch: July 2026

Published: July 7, 2026 10:53

Coauthored with Claude The soap opera starring Anthropic and the US government looms in the background of this month’s Trends. It may be over by the time you read this, or it may be headed for a third act. OpenAI has been drawn in, and a spat between…

Radar Trends to Watch: June 2026

Published: June 2, 2026 10:58

Coauthored with Claude Agents are making the transition from performing tasks to running operations. The Cloudflare and Stripe partnership ships an agent that opens accounts, registers domains, and deploys an application on its own (details), while…

Radar Trends to Watch: May 2026

Published: May 5, 2026 11:18

The most significant tension in this issue is between two companies making different decisions about how to handle AI with frontier security capabilities. Anthropic restricted Claude Mythos to a small corporate cohort through Project Glasswing. OpenAI…

Radar Trends to Watch: April 2026

Published: April 7, 2026 10:34

Starting with this issue of Trends, we’ve moved from simply reporting on news that has caught our eye and instead have worked with Claude to look at the various news items we’ve collected and to reflect on what they tell us about the direction and…

Radar Trends to Watch: March 2026

Published: March 3, 2026 12:07

The explosion of interest in OpenClaw was one of the last items added to the February 1 trends. In February, things went crazy. We saw a social network for agents (no humans allowed, though they undoubtedly sneak on); a multiplayer online game for agents…

Radar Trends to Watch: February 2026

Published: February 3, 2026 14:37

If you wanted any evidence that AI had colonized just about every aspect of computing, this month’s Trends would be all you need. The Programming section is largely about AI-assisted programming (or whatever you want to call it). AI also claims significant…

Radar Trends to Watch: January 2026

Published: January 6, 2026 11:48

Happy New Year! December was a short month, in part because of O’Reilly’s holiday break. But everybody relaxes at the end of the year—either that, or they’re on a sprint to finish something important. We’ll see. OpenAI’s end-of-year sprint was obvious:…