How popular is Donald Trump?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: May 25, 2026 13:01
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
🦜 Silver Bulletin | Nate Silver | Substack
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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
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How popular is the Iran War?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/iran-war-polls-popularity-approval
Published: May 25, 2026 13:00
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls
Published: May 25, 2026 13:00
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
Is Trump trying to turn Texas blue?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/is-trump-trying-to-turn-texas-blue
Published: May 23, 2026 18:02
It won’t be easy for Democrats. But he endorsed the inferior candidate at the worst possible time.
26 tips for acing the World Series of Poker
https://www.natesilver.net/p/21-tips-for-acing-the-world-series
Published: May 23, 2026 17:35
Newly updated for 2026. Here’s what I’ve learned after many long hours at the WSOP.
Disney erased FiveThirtyEight
https://www.natesilver.net/p/disney-erased-fivethirtyeight
Published: May 19, 2026 18:37
Nothing on the internet lasts forever. But Disney’s 10-year mismanagement of FiveThirtyEight is its own story.
Nate's 3 rules for constitutional hardball
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nates-3-rules-for-constitutional
Published: May 15, 2026 16:38
A “democracy agenda” should be principled, create a stable equilibrium, and pass muster with voters.
On redistricting, Democrats are playing as the away team
https://www.natesilver.net/p/on-redistricting-democrats-are-playing
Published: May 11, 2026 17:03
Democrats are fighting uphill against Republican-leaning courts. But they can’t afford either despondence or complacency.
PELE International Football Rankings âš˝
https://www.natesilver.net/p/pele-international-football-rankings-soccer-ratings-projections
Published: May 8, 2026 15:53
What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for all 211 FIFA teams.
How we calculate our PELE ratings
https://www.natesilver.net/p/pele-methodology
Published: May 8, 2026 15:51
Way more detail than you asked for on the methods behind our new soccer model.
Want more Black representatives? Elect more Democrats.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/want-more-black-representatives-elect
Published: May 5, 2026 17:13
I ran the numbers on redistricting after the Supreme Court's decision on the Voting Rights Act. The Black representation trade-off is mostly a myth.
Democrats are not OK with Boomers
https://www.natesilver.net/p/democrats-are-not-ok-with-boomers
Published: April 30, 2026 16:30
Perhaps having learned their lesson with Joe Biden, the party’s voters are starting to reject older, establishment-bound candidates.