The metaphor that explains American politics
https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-metaphor-that-explains-american
Published: June 12, 2025 20:19
What is a Shepard tone, and what does it tell us about Trump? Plus, my Substack Live with Galen Druke.
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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
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How popular is Donald Trump?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: June 11, 2025 16:03
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
How popular is Elon Musk?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-polls-popularity-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: June 10, 2025 20:32
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
Can anyone beat Cuomo? And is it Zohran?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/can-anyone-beat-cuomo-and-is-it-zohran
Published: June 10, 2025 19:22
Zohran Mamdani has made the NYC mayoral primary competitive. But ranked choice voting may shut out the very compromise choices it was supposed to facilitate.
17 thoughts on the Trump-Elon feud
https://www.natesilver.net/p/17-thoughts-on-the-trump-elon-feud
Published: June 5, 2025 21:52
This was nothing if not predictable. But is it the world's funniest social media spat, or a seismic event for American politics?
When should you fire your coach?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/when-should-you-fire-your-coach
Published: June 4, 2025 21:35
The Knicks just had their best season in 25 years. Then they fired Tom Thibodeau. Does that make any sense?
SBSQ #21: Why young men don't like Democrats
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-21-why-young-men-dont-like-democrats
Published: June 2, 2025 18:49
Plus, the New York City mayor’s race — and whether win probability models are broken.
Turnout didn’t cost Kamala Harris the election
https://www.natesilver.net/p/turnout-didnt-cost-kamala-harris
Published: May 28, 2025 18:01
In fact, marginal voters preferred Trump. So Democrats need to find a new playbook.
25 tips for acing the World Series of Poker
https://www.natesilver.net/p/21-tips-for-acing-the-world-series
Published: May 26, 2025 18:54
Newly updated for 2025. Here’s what I’ve learned after many long hours at the WSOP.
ChatGPT is shockingly bad at poker
https://www.natesilver.net/p/chatgpt-is-shockingly-bad-at-poker
Published: May 21, 2025 21:37
I’m impressed by large language models. So why can't they get the basics of poker right?