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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
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SBSQ #27: Is redistricting backfiring on Republicans?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-27-is-redistricting-backfiring
Published: December 7, 2025 17:30
Redistricting 201. Plus, do NFL teams understand game theory? And, should the Knicks trade for Giannis?
Biden defenders need to take the 'L'
https://www.natesilver.net/p/biden-defenders-need-to-take-the
Published: December 1, 2025 23:34
The Democratic Party should move on from people who still can't admit how badly they screwed up.
Are poker players liberal or conservative?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/are-poker-players-liberal-or-conservative
Published: November 26, 2025 16:31
They became more Trump-curious in 2024. But mostly, they’re anti-establishment types who dislike politics until you threaten their livelihoods.
Keep Houston weird
https://www.natesilver.net/p/keep-houston-weird
Published: November 21, 2025 23:03
The Houston Rockets are playing unconventional basketball, but their young core is blasting off.
What if you love Silver Bulletin... but hate sports?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/what-if-you-love-silver-bulletin
Published: November 20, 2025 17:42
Or love sports but hate politics? Here's how to manage what you get in your inbox.
Is Trump a lame duck?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/is-trump-a-lame-duck
Published: November 18, 2025 19:16
So far, Trump’s approval ratings have had a high floor. But second terms are often turbulent, and Trump has the economy, age and Epstein to worry about.
The NFL has entered the Scorigami Era
https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-nfl-has-entered-the-scorigami
Published: November 14, 2025 17:04
Superkickers, rule changes, dual-threat QBs and analytics are changing the sport — and producing weirder scores.
QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
https://www.natesilver.net/p/qbert-nfl-quarterback-ratings
Published: November 11, 2025 18:15
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
Trump made a huge blunder on the shutdown. So why did Democrats cave anyway?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-made-a-huge-blunder-on-the
Published: November 10, 2025 14:18
It's not entirely Chuck Schumer's fault, but the party needs new leadership.
SBSQ #26: Do prediction markets make polls useless?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-26-do-prediction-markets-make
Published: November 9, 2025 21:13
Plus the 2026 Senate map, Joe Burrow versus Joe Flacco, and why you should do creative work until you die.
ELWAY NFL team projections: Week 10
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elway-nfl-ratings-projections-playoff-odds
Published: November 6, 2025 04:17
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
How popular is Donald Trump?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: November 5, 2025 16:03
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
How popular is Elon Musk?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-polls-popularity-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: November 5, 2025 16:00
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.