ChatGPT is shockingly bad at poker
https://www.natesilver.net/p/chatgpt-is-shockingly-bad-at-poker
Published: May 21, 2025 21:37
I’m impressed by large language models. So why can't they get the basics of poker right?
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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
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How I learned to love the New York Knicks
https://www.natesilver.net/p/how-i-learned-to-love-the-new-york
Published: May 18, 2025 18:53
Everyone loves an underdog story. Even in the city that has everything.
Did the media blow it on Biden?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/did-the-media-blow-it-on-biden
Published: May 15, 2025 17:58
The fight for the nomination between Biden and Kamala Harris was covered extensively. But the public deserved to know more about Biden's fitness for the presidency.
How popular is Donald Trump?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: May 13, 2025 22:49
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
Can Democrats really win the Senate in 2026?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/can-democrats-really-win-the-senate
Published: May 12, 2025 15:26
Their math isn’t as bad as you might think — if they find the right candidates.
How popular is Elon Musk?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-polls-popularity-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: May 9, 2025 19:12
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
Why didn't anyone predict the American pope?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-didnt-anyone-predict-the-american
Published: May 9, 2025 12:44
Prediction markets and the conventional wisdom have limitations when they become feedback loops.
We're tracking more data on Trump's popularity
https://www.natesilver.net/p/were-tracking-more-data-on-trumps
Published: May 6, 2025 19:52
An old pattern has re-emerged: his haters are increasingly more passionate than his supporters.
SBSQ #20: The game theory of Trump vs. SCOTUS
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-20-the-game-theory-of-trump
Published: May 1, 2025 20:12
Plus: Trump Derangement Syndrome, the value of political protests, and how much should you cater to the party base?
Canada thinks we're a bunch of hosers, eh?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/canada-thinks-were-a-bunch-of-hosers
Published: April 28, 2025 11:37
Dislike of Trump is spilling over into broader public sentiment against the United States. Especially on our northern border.