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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
Site URL: www.natesilver.net/?utm_source=substack
Feed URL: www.natesilver.net/feed
Posts: 12
Followers: 2
The DSA sweet spot: highly educated, downwardly mobile
https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-dsa-sweet-spot-highly-educated
Published: July 21, 2026 13:56
Education and economic security are usually correlated. But where the relationship breaks down is fertile territory for the new left.
PELE International Football Rankings âš˝
https://www.natesilver.net/p/pele-international-football-rankings-soccer-ratings-projections
Published: July 19, 2026 14:43
What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for all 211 FIFA teams.
2026 World Cup: Spain vs. Argentina prediction
https://www.natesilver.net/p/world-cup-2026-odds-predictions
Published: July 18, 2026 23:18
Who will win the 2026 World Cup? Odds for all 48 teams and 104 matches, powered by 100,000 simulations from PELE, Silver Bulletin's new soccer model.
The World Cup champion will be one of the greatest teams ever
https://www.natesilver.net/p/world-cup-champion-2026-greatest-teams-ever
Published: July 18, 2026 16:41
Spain is chasing a historic streak. Argentina is chasing back-to-back titles. Whoever wins Sunday will join the highest tier in international soccer history.
Can the establishment stop Abdul El-Sayed?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/can-the-establishment-stop-abdul
Published: July 16, 2026 18:31
Haley Stevens has rebounded since Mallory McMorrow dropped out. But polls of both the Michigan primary and the general election don't tell a consistent story.
How popular is Donald Trump?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: July 16, 2026 13:39
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls
Published: July 16, 2026 13:39
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
How popular is the Iran War?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/iran-war-polls-popularity-approval
Published: July 16, 2026 13:38
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.
12 questions for the center-left
https://www.natesilver.net/p/12-questions-for-the-center-left
Published: July 14, 2026 15:17
The center-left offers an alternative to both the left and the Democratic “establishment.” But it’s losing influence — and struggling to define itself.
How popular is Elon Musk?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-polls-popularity-nate-silver-bulletin
Published: July 14, 2026 14:51
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
The Silver Bulletin World Cup quarterfinals preview
https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-silver-bulletin-world-cup-quarterfinals
Published: July 9, 2026 19:03
PELE’s forecast for the final eight: France leads a tight field, Argentina has the easiest path, and Norway has a real chance to crash the party.
The game theory of replacing Graham Platner
https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-game-theory-of-replacing-graham
Published: July 8, 2026 18:50
20 thoughts on who really has the leverage in Maine — and what Democrats should do next.