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Widening War Carries Risks for Tehran as Well as Washington
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-august-6/
Published: August 6, 2026 04:00
Iran’s strategy to counter the war U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu initiated on February 28 has rested on one fundamental pillar: to cause enough damage to the global economy and regional infrastructure that Trump,…
Fuel Crisis Shows Russia Can Still Absorb the Cost of War
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-august-5/
Published: August 5, 2026 04:00
Over the weekend, a bomb detonated outside of a Moscow restaurant, where Russian commander Colonel General Alexander Chaiko was celebrating his birthday, killing three and injuring 21. Authorities have labeled the incident as a terrorist attack, and the…
Airstrikes Alone Are Not a Panacea Against Terrorist Groups in Sub-Saharan Africa
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-august-4/
Published: August 4, 2026 04:00
Kinetic action continues to play a defining role in countries’ counterterrorism strategies in Africa, even in the face of mounting criticism due to civilian deaths. From the Sahel to the Lake Chad Basin and Somalia, an increasing number of airstrikes are…
Amid Expanding Regional Warfare, U.S. Announces Hamas Disarmament Deal
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-august-3/
Published: August 3, 2026 04:00
On Thursday, U.S. President Trump announced that the “Board of Peace” — the multilateral organization formed by his October “20 Point Peace Plan” for Gaza — had obtained a pledge by Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza to disarm. The weapons handover, as…
Islamic State Khorasan Remains a Persistent Adversary as It Continues to Adapt
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-31/
Published: July 31, 2026 04:01
The Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) remains entrenched in Afghanistan and Pakistan, where the group is under consistent counterterrorism pressure from the Afghan Taliban. After launching major high-profile external operations in 2024 in Iran and…
Iran Re-ignites War as Netanyahu Visits Washington
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-30/
Published: July 30, 2026 04:01
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited Washington on Tuesday for his first visit since Operation Epic Fury began on February 28. The Netanyahu visit, timed to the Washington funeral of the avowedly pro-Israel Senator Lindsay Graham, coincided…
A String of ISIS-Inspired Attacks in Europe
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-29/
Published: July 29, 2026 04:01
In Europe, a sudden uptick in arrests, thwarted plots, and executed attacks — some believed to be connected with the Islamic State (IS) or aligned with Iran — have sparked a debate about the state and effectiveness of European counterterrorism monitoring,…
Mali’s Shifting Battlefield Challenges Russia and Draws U.S. Attention
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-28/
Published: July 28, 2026 04:01
The Trump administration is reportedly weighing military options against Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), al-Qaeda’s affiliate in the Sahel, marking what could become a significant expansion of U.S. counterterrorism operations in Africa.…
Give Peace A Chance? U.S. Reaching a Strategic Dead End against Iran
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-27/
Published: July 27, 2026 04:01
Informed sources tell journalists that U.S. President Donald Trump has become increasingly frustrated at the failure of U.S. policy, to date, to bring about a termination of the war against Iran on terms U.S. officials can accept. Seeking to break the…
Deal or No Deal? Saudi Nuclear Pact Hangs in Balance as Regional Conflict Expands
https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2026-july-24/
Published: July 24, 2026 04:01
As tensions escalate between the U.S. and Iran, the Trump administration has sought to raise the stakes, announcing a new agreement with longtime Iranian rival, Saudi Arabia. Both the U.S. and Saudi Arabia have entered into a 30-year agreement that enables…