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Site URL: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Feed URL: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/feed
Posts: 10
Followers: 2
Election prediction markets: What happens next?
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/17/election-prediction-markets-what-happens-next/
Published: September 18, 2024 03:59
Rajiv Sethi discusses a recent ruling by a U.S. regulatory agency to halt trading on election prediction markets. Here’s Rajiv: As evidence for this assertion the agency cited some of my [Rajiv’s] writing [that] describe attempts at market manipulation,…
20 years of blogging . . . What have been your favorite posts?
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/17/20-years-of-blogging-what-are-your-favorite-posts/
Published: September 17, 2024 13:31
Our first post was on 12 Oct 2004: A weblog for research in statistical modeling and applications, especially in social sciences; followed by The Electoral College favors voters in small states; Why it’s rational to vote; Bayes and Popper; and … Continue…
The Mets are looking to hire a data scientist
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/16/the-mets-are-looking-for-a-data-scientist/
Published: September 17, 2024 02:47
Michale Jerman writes: We’re looking to expand our group, and we’d obviously be interested in hiring the type of people who follow you. The job is Senior Data Scientist, Baseball Analytics: The New York Mets are seeking a Senior Data … Continue reading →
The Rider
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/16/the-rider/
Published: September 16, 2024 13:08
I finally followed Phil’s advice and read The Rider, the 1978 cult classic by Tim Krabbé. It lived up to the hype. The book is the story of a minor-league bicycle race, as told by one of its participants, a … Continue reading →
Shreddergate! A fascinating investigation into possible dishonesty in a psychology experiment
Published: September 15, 2024 13:40
From A to Z A couple years ago we discussed a post by Mark Zimbelman expressing skepticism regarding a claim by psychologist (also business school professor, Ted talk star, NPR favorite, Edge Foundation associate, retired Wall Street Journal columnist,…
Freakonomics asks, “Why is there so much fraud in academia,” but without addressing one big incentive for fraud, which is that, if you make grabby enough claims, you can get featured in . . . Freakonomics!
Published: September 14, 2024 13:38
There was this Freakonomics podcast, “Why Is There So Much Fraud in Academia?” Several people emailed me about it, pointing out the irony that the Freakonomics franchise, which has promoted academic work of such varying quality (some excellent, some…
Supercentenarian superfraud update
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/13/supercentenarian-superfraud-update/
Published: September 13, 2024 20:59
Here. (Background here.) Next you’re gonna tell me that North Korea isn’t really a democracy! The moral of the story is: If you’re making a claim based on data, be aware of where your data come from.
Movements in the prediction markets, and going beyond a black-box view of markets and prediction models
Published: September 13, 2024 13:39
My Columbia econ colleague Rajiv Sethi writes: The first (and possibly last) debate between the two major party nominees for president of the United States is in the books. . . . movements in prediction markets give us a glimpse … Continue reading →
It’s Stanford time, baby: 8-hour time-restricted press releases linked to a 91% higher risk of hype
Published: September 12, 2024 13:49
Adam Pollack writes: You and the blog readers might find this interesting: https://newsroom.heart.org/news/8-hour-time-restricted-eating-linked-to-a-91-higher-risk-of-cardiovascular-death. Yesterday, my friend was very concerned for me after he found out I…
B-school prof data sleuth lawsuit fails
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/12/b-school-prof-data-sleuth-lawsuit-fails/
Published: September 12, 2024 13:10
Stephanie Lee tells the story: “She Sued the Sleuths Who Found Fraud in Her Data. A Judge Just Ruled Against Her.” Good touch in the headline to say “Found” rather than “Alleged.” Further background here (“Ted-talking purveyors of fake data … Continue…