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🦜 Noah Smith 🐇 / @Noahpinion

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Posts: 232

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Wow, real "fall of Western Civilization" stuff right here. On one hand, you have plummeting crime, whole towns saved from depopulation, and skyrocketing interracial marriage, but ON THE OTHER HAND, I met some libs who didn't like living in a working-class Hispanic neighborhood

Published: June 23, 2025 01:35

Wow, real "fall of Western Civilization" stuff right here. On one hand, you have plummeting crime, whole towns saved from depopulation, and skyrocketing interracial marriage, but ON THE OTHER HAND, I met some libs who didn't like living in a working-class…

RT by @Noahpinion: A few nanosecond laser pulse can be both eye-safe and destroy image sensors. This makes visible light lasers incredibly interesting as a counter to camera-guided drones.

Published: June 23, 2025 01:25

A few nanosecond laser pulse can be both eye-safe and destroy image sensors. This makes visible light lasers incredibly interesting as a counter to camera-guided drones. xcancel.com/niccruzpatane/status/1924485047580586294#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Family members identified the victim as Narciso Barranco, a father to three sons who are all U.S. Marines.

Published: June 22, 2025 23:39

Family members identified the victim as Narciso Barranco, a father to three sons who are all U.S. Marines. xcancel.com/KTLA/status/1936929492142113117#m

R to @Noahpinion: I recognize that mass immigration doesn't work out everywhere, all the time. I am not for open borders either. But if you've lived in America over the last 30 or 40 years and you think mass immigration went badly, I'm sorry, but you live inside a computer screen.

Published: June 22, 2025 20:56

I recognize that mass immigration doesn't work out everywhere, all the time. I am not for open borders either. But if you've lived in America over the last 30 or 40 years and you think mass immigration went badly, I'm sorry, but you live inside a computer…

R to @Noahpinion: The mass immigration of the 1980s-2000s worked out great. Immigrants assimilated. Poor immigrants moved up economically. Our cities became nicer and safer. Everyone learned English. It was great. There are whole books about this. https://www.amazon.com/s?k=streets+of+gold&adgrpid=173350551821&hvadid=739082355317&hvdev=m&hvexpln=68&hvlocphy=1014221&hvnetw=g&hvocijid=6276485763675763257--&hvqmt=e&hvrand=6276485763675763257&hvtargid=kwd-296260859976&hydadcr=15839_13521439&mcid=00642f32696f3256a577414c4469a065&tag=hydsma-20&ref=pd_sl_4kqg1gqna6_e_p68

Published: June 22, 2025 20:55

The mass immigration of the 1980s-2000s worked out great. Immigrants assimilated. Poor immigrants moved up economically. Our cities became nicer and safer. Everyone learned English. It was great. There are whole books about this. …

Man, I've seen mass immigration work out in America IN MY LIFETIME. Texas is majority Hispanic now and it's an even better place to live. L.A. is mostly Mexican+Asian and it's 1000x better than in the 90s. NYC is awesome. There's been no riots, no alienation, no crime wave.

Published: June 22, 2025 20:53

Man, I've seen mass immigration work out in America IN MY LIFETIME. Texas is majority Hispanic now and it's an even better place to live. L.A. is mostly Mexican+Asian and it's 1000x better than in the 90s. NYC is awesome. There's been no riots, no…

Did people actually think "Make America Great Again, and also Amerikkka is an evil empire that must be destroyed" was a stable political movement that had a future?

Published: June 22, 2025 20:27

Did people actually think "Make America Great Again, and also Amerikkka is an evil empire that must be destroyed" was a stable political movement that had a future?

I'm not in favor of preemptively attacking other countries, BUT, actually this is often an effective way of ending a fight

Published: June 22, 2025 20:05

I'm not in favor of preemptively attacking other countries, BUT, actually this is often an effective way of ending a fight xcancel.com/VanceE/status/1936584977636061208#m

Yes, absolutely. ISIS is basically dead, al Qaeda is basically dead, the Muslim Brotherhood can't win anything anywhere, deaths from jihadist attacks are plummeting, etc.

Published: June 22, 2025 18:56

Yes, absolutely. ISIS is basically dead, al Qaeda is basically dead, the Muslim Brotherhood can't win anything anywhere, deaths from jihadist attacks are plummeting, etc. xcancel.com/TradingTrotter/status/1936860009973035474#m

The Islamist-leftist alliance seems really bizarre at first, but I think it makes sense if you realize that both ideologies are on the decline. It's like a merger between two badly managed companies in a sunset industry.

Published: June 22, 2025 18:52

The Islamist-leftist alliance seems really bizarre at first, but I think it makes sense if you realize that both ideologies are on the decline. It's like a merger between two badly managed companies in a sunset industry.…

RT by @Noahpinion: Khamenei is 86 Putin is 72 Xi Jinping is 72 Netanyahu is 75 Trump is 79 There will be seismic political shifts over the next decade or so

Published: June 22, 2025 18:16

Khamenei is 86 Putin is 72 Xi Jinping is 72 Netanyahu is 75 Trump is 79 There will be seismic political shifts over the next decade or so

Social media makes people think every news event is unprecedented. While a few are, most are not.

Published: June 22, 2025 18:14

Social media makes people think every news event is unprecedented. While a few are, most are not. xcancel.com/jasminericegirl/status/1936574099930669567#m

I'm very much against starting wars to change other countries' regimes. It's bad. And yet at the same time, if Iran's regime *did* change to one that focused on peaceful economic development instead of constant proxy wars, it would be great for the Middle East.

Published: June 22, 2025 18:06

I'm very much against starting wars to change other countries' regimes. It's bad. And yet at the same time, if Iran's regime *did* change to one that focused on peaceful economic development instead of constant proxy wars, it would be great for the Middle…

RT by @Noahpinion: i feel like this is never talked about when it comes to China their domestic manufacturing is mainly for their domestic market Great analysis of China by @Noahpinion

Published: June 22, 2025 18:02

i feel like this is never talked about when it comes to China their domestic manufacturing is mainly for their domestic market Great analysis of China by @Noahpinion

Everyone should have one real thing they stubbornly refuse to believe is real. For me it's "vibecamp".

Published: June 22, 2025 17:51

Everyone should have one real thing they stubbornly refuse to believe is real. For me it's "vibecamp".

Things I learned from this NYT article: * Biden pushed incredibly hard for trans rights * WPATH had reservations about some kinds of pediatric gender medicine, but got silenced by the administration * Chase Strangio is a weird dude * The ACLU is cooked https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/19/magazine/scotus-transgender-care-tennessee-skrmetti.html

Published: June 22, 2025 17:11

Things I learned from this NYT article: * Biden pushed incredibly hard for trans rights * WPATH had reservations about some kinds of pediatric gender medicine, but got silenced by the administration * Chase Strangio is a weird dude * The ACLU is cooked …

Rabbits are great but I need to genetically modify them in a few ways: 1. Longer lifespan (20+ years instead 10) 2. Ability to throw up 3. Ability to make a cooing noise like a guinea pig

Published: June 22, 2025 17:02

Rabbits are great but I need to genetically modify them in a few ways: 1. Longer lifespan (20+ years instead 10) 2. Ability to throw up 3. Ability to make a cooing noise like a guinea pig

No one knows, it could just be mass stupidity. BUT, here's a cool paper (by one of the biggest assholes I've ever met) showing that people throwing their money at professional traders can CAUSE them to underperform: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/research/publications/mutual-fund-flows-performance-rational-markets

Published: June 22, 2025 16:46

No one knows, it could just be mass stupidity. BUT, here's a cool paper (by one of the biggest assholes I've ever met) showing that people throwing their money at professional traders can CAUSE them to underperform: gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-res……

RT by @Noahpinion: This is the kind of thing you'd invent to make fun of leftists and they just do it to themselves

Published: June 22, 2025 16:16

This is the kind of thing you'd invent to make fun of leftists and they just do it to themselves xcancel.com/envisionedluna/status/1936801339868156410#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Hard left socialists destroy specialized public high schools The idea of social mobility is offensive to them and cannot be allowed. We need to fight against these people and normalize equality of opportunity as our goal, not equality of outcome.

Published: June 22, 2025 14:47

Hard left socialists destroy specialized public high schools The idea of social mobility is offensive to them and cannot be allowed. We need to fight against these people and normalize equality of opportunity as our goal, not equality of outcome.…

If Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz to Europe-bound traffic, Europe can easily get oil elsewhere. If oil prices go up as a result of the war, the U.S. economy is hedged. I'm just not that worried about oil prices. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-economic-consequences-of-a-war

Published: June 22, 2025 11:31

If Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz to Europe-bound traffic, Europe can easily get oil elsewhere. If oil prices go up as a result of the war, the U.S. economy is hedged. I'm just not that worried about oil prices. noahpinion.blog/p/the-econom…

RT by @Noahpinion: The pessimism around solar is so crazy to me. It’s not even boom and bust — just one continuous boom. How many more years are you going to listen to the pessimists before you bother to look for yourself?

Published: June 22, 2025 04:21

The pessimism around solar is so crazy to me. It’s not even boom and bust — just one continuous boom. How many more years are you going to listen to the pessimists before you bother to look for yourself?

It took us a decade and a half, but we're finally collectively waking up to the fact that social media is the main problem with America

Published: June 22, 2025 03:07

It took us a decade and a half, but we're finally collectively waking up to the fact that social media is the main problem with America xcancel.com/micsolana/status/1936529922488746178#m

I would just like to point out that Australia has an important court case called "Tickle versus Giggle"

Published: June 22, 2025 02:53

I would just like to point out that Australia has an important court case called "Tickle versus Giggle" xcancel.com/salltweets/status/1936534599343169836#m

The videos of masked ICE thugs causing chaos around the country appear to be having an effect

Published: June 22, 2025 02:26

The videos of masked ICE thugs causing chaos around the country appear to be having an effect xcancel.com/gelliottmorris/status/1936409013207392327#m

Imagine how weak a country has to be for Trump not to chicken out of a fight with them

Published: June 22, 2025 00:41

Imagine how weak a country has to be for Trump not to chicken out of a fight with them rss.xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1936579875755958425#m

Still insane to me that Iran's total success in this war so far has been to kill a few dozen Israeli civilians

Published: June 22, 2025 00:19

Still insane to me that Iran's total success in this war so far has been to kill a few dozen Israeli civilians rss.xcancel.com/Osinttechnical/status/1936568448391528501#m

Wow we bombed Iran and there's practically nothing about it on X. Five or seven years ago this whole app would have been blowing up. This town is dead, man

Published: June 22, 2025 00:14

Wow we bombed Iran and there's practically nothing about it on X. Five or seven years ago this whole app would have been blowing up. This town is dead, man

RT by @Noahpinion: ICE agents caught on camera—brutally beating local gardener during arrest in Santa Ana. Multiple reports of ICE raids "swarming" landscaping crews. Even leaving lawnmowers running after grabbing men right off front lawns in the greater Los Angeles area. Mayor Valerie Amezcua has faced significant calls to resign due to her response—or lack thereof—to ICE raids and protests in the city. Santa Ana was supposedly the only self-designated sanctuary city in Orange County, California. #DemVoice1 #wtpBLUE #DemsUnited

Published: June 21, 2025 22:42

ICE agents caught on camera—brutally beating local gardener during arrest in Santa Ana. Multiple reports of ICE raids "swarming" landscaping crews. Even leaving lawnmowers running after grabbing men right off front lawns in the greater Los Angeles area. …

Electric motors, batteries, and power transistors have changed the nature of physical technology. Electricity is replacing combustion.

Published: June 21, 2025 20:10

Electric motors, batteries, and power transistors have changed the nature of physical technology. Electricity is replacing combustion. rss.xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1936512512465453332#m

Assimilation works. Culturally, Zohran is definitely the whitest candidate in the NYC mayoral race. 😂

Published: June 21, 2025 17:47

Assimilation works. Culturally, Zohran is definitely the whitest candidate in the NYC mayoral race. 😂 rss.xcancel.com/billdavisllc/status/1936439145238278488#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Check out my latest article: Asymmetric Geopolitical Warfare: US Carpet-bombing tariffs vs Chinese surgical-strike export controls. Who Wins? https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/asymmetric-geopolitical-warfare-us-carpet-bombing-tariffs-baldwin-3shfe via @LinkedIn cc: @AdamPosen @imd @SimonEvenett @snlester @scottlincicome @lugaricano @LHSummers @_AnabelG @bweder @Francesco_Bia @MyStephanomics @jasonfurman @Brad_Setser @BrankoMilan @gmfstokes @ojblanchard1 @ChadBown @KyleLHandley @howserob @michaelxpettis @Noahpinion @ckhead @jagjit_chadha @jdportes @JustinWolfers @SoumayaKeynes @NOIweala @ofnumbers @econromesh

Published: June 21, 2025 17:39

Check out my latest article: Asymmetric Geopolitical Warfare: US Carpet-bombing tariffs vs Chinese surgical-strike export controls. Who Wins? linkedin.com/pulse/asymmetri… via @LinkedIn cc: @AdamPosen @imd @SimonEvenett @snlester @scottlincicome…

RT by @Noahpinion: Certain activists fought market-rate housing in the Mission, arguing it had to be 100% affordable housing. 2 Mission orgs then proposed 100% affordable & the same activists are fighting it. It’s never been about “affordable housing.” It’s always been about straight-up NIMBYism.

Published: June 21, 2025 16:52

Certain activists fought market-rate housing in the Mission, arguing it had to be 100% affordable housing. 2 Mission orgs then proposed 100% affordable & the same activists are fighting it. It’s never been about “affordable housing.” It’s always been…

RT by @Noahpinion: What a scoop from the Post. The One Big, Beautiful Bill Act would force the USPS to sell off its 7,200 EV delivery vehicles and *rip up post office facilities/lots* to uninstall their chargers. The chargers have no real market value so it’s just incinerating public dollars.

Published: June 21, 2025 15:15

What a scoop from the Post. The One Big, Beautiful Bill Act would force the USPS to sell off its 7,200 EV delivery vehicles and *rip up post office facilities/lots* to uninstall their chargers. The chargers have no real market value so it’s just…

RT by @Noahpinion: As young people find it increasingly difficult to read a page of text, the SAT and ACT are adapting by removing the need to read any long passages. Or write any short essays. We are undergoing "human change." https://www.joannejacobs.com/post/as-attention-spans-get-shorter-so-does-the-sat-and-soon-the-act

Published: June 21, 2025 11:08

As young people find it increasingly difficult to read a page of text, the SAT and ACT are adapting by removing the need to read any long passages. Or write any short essays. We are undergoing "human change." joannejacobs.com/post/as-att…

RT by @Noahpinion: The nice thing about the NYC mayoral race is that it has finally forced progressives to confront the fact they are a movement of white college grads that benefits from low turnout.

Published: June 21, 2025 06:35

The nice thing about the NYC mayoral race is that it has finally forced progressives to confront the fact they are a movement of white college grads that benefits from low turnout.

RT by @Noahpinion: Today's big biotech win is that we might be on the verge of a cure for type-1 diabetes🧵 Twelve diabetics were injected with stem cell-derived pancreatic islets. They started producing insulin again. One year in, 10/12 participants no longer needed to inject insulin.

Published: June 21, 2025 03:35

Today's big biotech win is that we might be on the verge of a cure for type-1 diabetes🧵 Twelve diabetics were injected with stem cell-derived pancreatic islets. They started producing insulin again. One year in, 10/12 participants no longer needed to…

RT by @Noahpinion: China’s rare earth export controls are affecting many countries besides the US, particularly India. India’s auto industry group has been sounding the alarm, and a group of industry reps is planning a trip to Beijing. Great piece by @Shreyas_Shende1: https://indialog.substack.com/p/chinas-chokehold-on-rare-earths-and

Published: June 21, 2025 03:11

China’s rare earth export controls are affecting many countries besides the US, particularly India. India’s auto industry group has been sounding the alarm, and a group of industry reps is planning a trip to Beijing. Great piece by @Shreyas_Shende1: …

This guy was literally paid by the Russians to collapse the liberal world order, so I wouldn't necessarily take him as an authority here

Published: June 21, 2025 02:51

This guy was literally paid by the Russians to collapse the liberal world order, so I wouldn't necessarily take him as an authority here rss.xcancel.com/Timcast/status/1936025884060008605#m

RT by @Noahpinion: China is paying its national champions to fight each other to the death. China's industrial policy has an unprofitability problem, by @Noahpinion https://open.substack.com/pub/noahpinion/p/chinas-industrial-policy-has-an-unprofitability?r=6olj&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

Published: June 21, 2025 02:45

China is paying its national champions to fight each other to the death. China's industrial policy has an unprofitability problem, by @Noahpinion open.substack.com/pub/noahpi…

Destroy social media Autonomous drone swarms to seek out and destroy servers of every social network Honeypot AI agents to to doxx all social media users and kill them with tailored bioweapons AI hacks to wipe all record of social media

Published: June 21, 2025 02:36

Destroy social media Autonomous drone swarms to seek out and destroy servers of every social network Honeypot AI agents to to doxx all social media users and kill them with tailored bioweapons AI hacks to wipe all record of social media

I love this dude. Most schizos on here obsess over war, or sex, or politics. This guy is on a crusade to destroy home cooking. 👑👑👑

Published: June 21, 2025 02:24

I love this dude. Most schizos on here obsess over war, or sex, or politics. This guy is on a crusade to destroy home cooking. 👑👑👑 rss.xcancel.com/j0hnwang/status/1935763009038921828#m

AGI is the Machine God from Hyperion, and social media is the Organic God, and it turns out the Machine God was the good one after all

Published: June 21, 2025 02:10

AGI is the Machine God from Hyperion, and social media is the Organic God, and it turns out the Machine God was the good one after all rss.xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1936206046156198181#m

Your regular reminder that all those measures of "exposure to AI" are complete and total horseshit

Published: June 21, 2025 02:04

Your regular reminder that all those measures of "exposure to AI" are complete and total horseshit rss.xcancel.com/TheStalwart/status/1936154767920665056#m

If current trends hold, China will represent 36% of global manufacturing ten years from now, rather than 45% as the UN has forecast.

Published: June 21, 2025 01:11

If current trends hold, China will represent 36% of global manufacturing ten years from now, rather than 45% as the UN has forecast. rss.xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1936215043353592227#m

RT by @Noahpinion: I'm going to say that trying to sabotage the British armed forces was not the brightest idea they ever had.

Published: June 21, 2025 00:49

I'm going to say that trying to sabotage the British armed forces was not the brightest idea they ever had. rss.xcancel.com/HeidiBachram/status/1936109294870491443#m

One thing I learned in the last week is that there are a huge number of anti-Iran rap tracks out there https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjuIo6V5RpU

Published: June 21, 2025 00:07

One thing I learned in the last week is that there are a huge number of anti-Iran rap tracks out there yewtu.be/watch?v=kjuIo6V5…

Olivia Julianna is indeed not some random woman. She is a great hero, and a Texan! 👑

Published: June 20, 2025 23:43

Olivia Julianna is indeed not some random woman. She is a great hero, and a Texan! 👑 rss.xcancel.com/0liviajulianna/status/1936188970934681629#m

Wow, America has become such a peaceful, gentle country. When I was a kid, you would NOT want to walk around in a public place saying crap like this guy is saying.

Published: June 20, 2025 23:11

Wow, America has become such a peaceful, gentle country. When I was a kid, you would NOT want to walk around in a public place saying crap like this guy is saying. rss.xcancel.com/chaotichermes/status/1934362020188483875#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Food and drink kiosks like these would vastly improve many of America's urban parks.

Published: June 20, 2025 22:53

Food and drink kiosks like these would vastly improve many of America's urban parks. rss.xcancel.com/Eric_Erins/status/1936182810315739496#m

Note: I was wrong! This woman has nothing to do with the male outreach program!!

Published: June 20, 2025 22:12

Note: I was wrong! This woman has nothing to do with the male outreach program!! rss.xcancel.com/0liviajulianna/status/1935893697897357522#m

RT by @Noahpinion: One reason police officers are normally readily identifiable is that if you normalize anonymous policing you make it much easier for crooks and scammers to pull stuff like this. https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/04/us/ice-impersonators-on-the-rise-arrests-made-as-authorities-issue-national-warning

Published: June 20, 2025 21:53

One reason police officers are normally readily identifiable is that if you normalize anonymous policing you make it much easier for crooks and scammers to pull stuff like this. cnn.com/2025/02/04/us/ice-im…

White people are much healthier in blue states than in red states. Black people are slightly healthier. Hispanics are the same.

Published: June 20, 2025 21:38

White people are much healthier in blue states than in red states. Black people are slightly healthier. Hispanics are the same. rss.xcancel.com/mattyglesias/status/1936091994079580200#m

RT by @Noahpinion: It’s crazy to me that American showers don’t use thermostatic mixing valves. It’s a better experience. The water gets to the temperature you want faster. It’s more stable. You set it once and it’s ready every time. It saves water because you don’t have to wait as long. It saves energy because you’re not heating up water you don’t use. It’s safer because it prevents scalding. And it’s — cheap. You can get one for like $30. We could finally solve the problem of every shower having its own confusing interface. The rest of the world uses these. Why aren’t we using them?

Published: June 20, 2025 21:00

It’s crazy to me that American showers don’t use thermostatic mixing valves. It’s a better experience. The water gets to the temperature you want faster. It’s more stable. You set it once and it’s ready every time. It saves water because you don’t have…

RT by @Noahpinion: Incredibly amazing chart by @jessrems with an important point about American housing—NY/CA build nothing, TX/AZ sprawl, but only a few American cities like Seattle, Atlanta, (& DC) are actually building lots of new dense housing in their core neighborhoods (full article below)

Published: June 20, 2025 20:42

Incredibly amazing chart by @jessrems with an important point about American housing—NY/CA build nothing, TX/AZ sprawl, but only a few American cities like Seattle, Atlanta, (& DC) are actually building lots of new dense housing in their core neighborhoods…

Wow, someone used a "paycheck to paycheck" number that's halfway plausible Hell yeah Tony Hinderman, I love you ♥️♥️♥️

Published: June 20, 2025 19:48

Wow, someone used a "paycheck to paycheck" number that's halfway plausible Hell yeah Tony Hinderman, I love you ♥️♥️♥️ rss.xcancel.com/TonyHinderman/status/1936110964035776541#m

RT by @Noahpinion: “Your intelligence community says they have no evidence that Iran is building a nuke.” “Then my intelligence community is wrong. Who said that?” “Your Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard.” “She's wrong.”

Published: June 20, 2025 19:42

“Your intelligence community says they have no evidence that Iran is building a nuke.” “Then my intelligence community is wrong. Who said that?” “Your Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard.” “She's wrong.”

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