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🦜 Noah Smith 🐇 / @Noahpinion

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Posts: 414

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Leftists are the dumbest people in the Democratic coalition, example #1,145,078,562

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934802288293642602#m

Published: June 17, 2025 02:36

Leftists are the dumbest people in the Democratic coalition, example #1,145,078,562 xcancel.com/m0grady/status/1934771834441859080#m

RT by @Noahpinion: 50,000 San Franciscans took to the streets on Saturday in a peaceful and patriotic protest. https://growsf.org/news/2025-06-16-no-kings-protest/?q=8

https://xcancel.com/GrowSF/status/1934794832150712798#m

Published: June 17, 2025 02:06

50,000 San Franciscans took to the streets on Saturday in a peaceful and patriotic protest. growsf.org/news/2025-06-16-n…

RT by @Noahpinion: Mearsheimer: Multipolar world. Spheres of influence. The strong do what they can, the weak suffer what they must Ukraine and Israel: Okey *blows up Russian nuclear bomber fleet, destroys Iranian nuclear project* Mearsheimer: NOOOOOO THATS NOT WHAT I MEANT NOOOOOOOO

https://xcancel.com/DrewPavlou/status/1934779197735747987#m

Published: June 17, 2025 01:04

Mearsheimer: Multipolar world. Spheres of influence. The strong do what they can, the weak suffer what they must Ukraine and Israel: Okey *blows up Russian nuclear bomber fleet, destroys Iranian nuclear project* Mearsheimer: NOOOOOO THATS NOT WHAT I…

RT by @Noahpinion: They charge to ride the bus in Cuba, probably because the nefarious influence of neoliberalism. https://en.cibercuba.com/noticias/2024-05-15-u1-e199370-s27061-nid281993-denuncian-cobros-indebidos-transporte-publico-habana

https://xcancel.com/mattyglesias/status/1934777543468417489#m

Published: June 17, 2025 00:58

They charge to ride the bus in Cuba, probably because the nefarious influence of neoliberalism. en.cibercuba.com/noticias/20…

Iran is losing to a country one-ninth its size, and Russia is stalemated against a country one-fourth its size, it's almost as if the rightists and leftists are both wrong and Western democracies are actually fairly good at war when they need to be

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934771686643290225#m

Published: June 17, 2025 00:34

Iran is losing to a country one-ninth its size, and Russia is stalemated against a country one-fourth its size, it's almost as if the rightists and leftists are both wrong and Western democracies are actually fairly good at war when they need to be

RT by @Noahpinion: Holy crap. The US-UK trade deal is a blank sheet of paper and only Trump signed it. (Genuine screen grab).

https://xcancel.com/JustinWolfers/status/1934766052761608388#m

Published: June 17, 2025 00:12

Holy crap. The US-UK trade deal is a blank sheet of paper and only Trump signed it. (Genuine screen grab). xcancel.com/JustinWolfers/status/1934730395825717600#m

I knew Israel was pretty good at war, but I have to admit I'm pretty surprised at how lopsided the Israel-Iran war has been so far

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934753915637293119#m

Published: June 16, 2025 23:24

I knew Israel was pretty good at war, but I have to admit I'm pretty surprised at how lopsided the Israel-Iran war has been so far xcancel.com/antoniogm/status/1934601319601377414#m

If China doesn't yet have any of these inside America, they'll be trying to get some here over the next few years.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934752604049035336#m

Published: June 16, 2025 23:19

If China doesn't yet have any of these inside America, they'll be trying to get some here over the next few years. xcancel.com/Aviation_Intel/status/1934746067175919880#m

What is the significance of Greta Thunberg? Why is she more significant than any other similar activist?

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934750570012930053#m

Published: June 16, 2025 23:10

What is the significance of Greta Thunberg? Why is she more significant than any other similar activist?

I thought Trump was probably too cowardly to get involved in the war, but now I think if Israel looks like it's clearly about to win, he might get involved just to get an easy "W" under his belt after he lost to the Houthis

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934749240930259371#m

Published: June 16, 2025 23:05

I thought Trump was probably too cowardly to get involved in the war, but now I think if Israel looks like it's clearly about to win, he might get involved just to get an easy "W" under his belt after he lost to the Houthis…

Are you serious? Nobody comprehends anything they "read" anymore. I feel like almost none of the people who reply to my tweets have even read them

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934748099530121615#m

Published: June 16, 2025 23:01

Are you serious? Nobody comprehends anything they "read" anymore. I feel like almost none of the people who reply to my tweets have even read them xcancel.com/vanillaopinions/status/1934691366505992551#m

TBH I hear this exact stuff from major right-wing influencers on this platform

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934747513967530250#m

Published: June 16, 2025 22:58

TBH I hear this exact stuff from major right-wing influencers on this platform xcancel.com/GadSaad/status/1934594362328928283#m

Israel totally controlling the skies over Iran is a pretty harsh indictment of the Islamic Republic's competence

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934746823723503792#m

Published: June 16, 2025 22:56

Israel totally controlling the skies over Iran is a pretty harsh indictment of the Islamic Republic's competence xcancel.com/AuroraIntel/status/1934641788385480830#m

How the hell did America end up with a leftist movement whose entire philosophy is based off of this character from Slacker

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934739206011773081#m

Published: June 16, 2025 22:25

How the hell did America end up with a leftist movement whose entire philosophy is based off of this character from Slacker

R to @Noahpinion: (But the Iraq War was still a disaster because we lied, attacked a country that didn't threaten us, got a bunch of innocent people killed, tore up the liberal global order, and sent our country's geopolitical position into terminal decline!)

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934736221001191808#m

Published: June 16, 2025 22:13

(But the Iraq War was still a disaster because we lied, attacked a country that didn't threaten us, got a bunch of innocent people killed, tore up the liberal global order, and sent our country's geopolitical position into terminal decline!)

R to @Noahpinion: Not only did we win the war, but we won the peace. We defeated ISIS, and made Iraq into a nonthreatening country. Claims that Iraq became an Iranian proxy are also silly; Iraq has done nothing to help Iran in its proxy wars against Israel or Saudi. Sorry folks, we won!

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934735757442498789#m

Published: June 16, 2025 22:12

Not only did we win the war, but we won the peace. We defeated ISIS, and made Iraq into a nonthreatening country. Claims that Iraq became an Iranian proxy are also silly; Iraq has done nothing to help Iran in its proxy wars against Israel or Saudi. Sorry…

RT by @Noahpinion: The activist San Francisco judges that keep releasing violent criminals often run unopposed and win by default, like Simon Frankel in this case:

https://xcancel.com/kane/status/1934731122661077229#m

Published: June 16, 2025 21:53

The activist San Francisco judges that keep releasing violent criminals often run unopposed and win by default, like Simon Frankel in this case: xcancel.com/sf_safetynews/status/1934710464518517111#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Remember how lame it seemed back in 2000 when the President of South Africa didn't believe that HIV caused AIDS? Now we have someone like that in the US government, and he's Secretary of Health and Human Services.

https://xcancel.com/paulg/status/1934726844919828796#m

Published: June 16, 2025 21:36

Remember how lame it seemed back in 2000 when the President of South Africa didn't believe that HIV caused AIDS? Now we have someone like that in the US government, and he's Secretary of Health and Human Services.…

RT by @Noahpinion: My two cents on the free busses thing is that the reason you want fares is to discourage people from using the bus primarily as a hangout or place to sleep. This is particularly important if you want a larger portion of bus service to be supported by general tax dollars.

https://xcancel.com/Nowooski/status/1934724827967049877#m

Published: June 16, 2025 21:28

My two cents on the free busses thing is that the reason you want fares is to discourage people from using the bus primarily as a hangout or place to sleep. This is particularly important if you want a larger portion of bus service to be supported by…

RT by @Noahpinion: the outcome is so certain they’re doing “real socialism has never been tried” before it’s even tried, now

https://xcancel.com/micsolana/status/1934720454159421928#m

Published: June 16, 2025 21:11

the outcome is so certain they’re doing “real socialism has never been tried” before it’s even tried, now xcancel.com/Kaimandante/status/1934663649257279942#m

RT by @Noahpinion: "There was no 1619 or 1948, only 1776. It was all just liberty and democracy and the Constitution. My overpowering impression was that this was the country I grew up in." -- @Noahpinion https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-cautiously-optimistic-about

https://xcancel.com/EricBoehm87/status/1934692834067796199#m

Published: June 16, 2025 19:21

"There was no 1619 or 1948, only 1776. It was all just liberty and democracy and the Constitution. My overpowering impression was that this was the country I grew up in." -- @Noahpinion noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-ca…

RT by @Noahpinion: If this continues, America goes de facto bankrupt and all tax revenue will go to paying interest on the national debt with nothing left for anything else.

https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1934630653729046872#m

Published: June 16, 2025 15:14

If this continues, America goes de facto bankrupt and all tax revenue will go to paying interest on the national debt with nothing left for anything else. xcancel.com/WallStreetMav/status/1934623754795036764#m

It is kind of impressive how just two years ago, Israel was totally surrounded by Iranian proxies -- Hezbollah, Hamas, and Assad. Now they've pretty much dismantled that entire "Axis of Resistance" (though Turkey got rid of Assad). Iran is basically Israel's final boss.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934544092337516904#m

Published: June 16, 2025 09:30

It is kind of impressive how just two years ago, Israel was totally surrounded by Iranian proxies -- Hezbollah, Hamas, and Assad. Now they've pretty much dismantled that entire "Axis of Resistance" (though Turkey got rid of Assad). Iran is basically…

R to @Noahpinion: Seems like if Israel is going to win, they're going to have to win quick. Without ground troops or major American assistance, it seems like the only way for them to do that is to topple the Iranian government. So it seems clear that that's what they'll try to do.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934540765176434922#m

Published: June 16, 2025 09:17

Seems like if Israel is going to win, they're going to have to win quick. Without ground troops or major American assistance, it seems like the only way for them to do that is to topple the Iranian government. So it seems clear that that's what they'll try…

RT by @Noahpinion: If there ever is a revolution in America it will obviously be primarily carried by liberals against fascism

https://xcancel.com/TrueSlazac/status/1934532239603454123#m

Published: June 16, 2025 08:43

If there ever is a revolution in America it will obviously be primarily carried by liberals against fascism

Ten or even five years ago right-wing people in SF were discussing new ideas, there was a lot of intellectual ferment. Now they seem stuck, there aren't any new ideas, and they're not sure where to go.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934528484833149282#m

Published: June 16, 2025 08:28

Ten or even five years ago right-wing people in SF were discussing new ideas, there was a lot of intellectual ferment. Now they seem stuck, there aren't any new ideas, and they're not sure where to go.

Iran and Israel have resorted to bombing each other's civilians. Definitely not a war the U.S. should be involved in in any way.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934521318457905482#m

Published: June 16, 2025 07:59

Iran and Israel have resorted to bombing each other's civilians. Definitely not a war the U.S. should be involved in in any way. xcancel.com/yashar/status/1934490560900771896#m

Yes, because you use politics chiefly as an outlet for your personal emotional problems

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934518110633222208#m

Published: June 16, 2025 07:47

Yes, because you use politics chiefly as an outlet for your personal emotional problems xcancel.com/Taniyeahhhhh/status/1934019530990432338#m

OK but hear me out, if pop culture ever DID get really boring and derivative, there would be some 40-year-old guys who realized it, and then every time they pointed it out people would say "nah you're just old", and eventually they'd question whether they were going insane

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934484007976329280#m

Published: June 16, 2025 05:31

OK but hear me out, if pop culture ever DID get really boring and derivative, there would be some 40-year-old guys who realized it, and then every time they pointed it out people would say "nah you're just old", and eventually they'd question whether they…

I read a blog by a Zoomer who has sex like a Gen Xer I was about to say "there's hope after all", but no, no, that's not what that is

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934481697506218142#m

Published: June 16, 2025 05:22

I read a blog by a Zoomer who has sex like a Gen Xer I was about to say "there's hope after all", but no, no, that's not what that is

Beginning to suspect that dating in SF is not actually hard at all, and this is just how SF people hit on each other

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934478341106765943#m

Published: June 16, 2025 05:09

Beginning to suspect that dating in SF is not actually hard at all, and this is just how SF people hit on each other

We found out why the incels can't get laid, folks! Only guys who are willing to die for Israel get laid.

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934475656051691612#m

Published: June 16, 2025 04:58

We found out why the incels can't get laid, folks! Only guys who are willing to die for Israel get laid. xcancel.com/IncelsCo/status/1933396256744710258#m

RT by @Noahpinion: - Steve Jobs: son of a Syrian immigrant. - Jeff Bezos: father is a Cuban immigrant. - Sergey Brin: Soviet immigrant, born in Moscow. - Jensen Huang: Taiwanese immigrant. - Elon Musk: South African immigrant. 5 of the magnificent 7.

https://xcancel.com/StatisticUrban/status/1934431007043670316#m

Published: June 16, 2025 02:01

- Steve Jobs: son of a Syrian immigrant. - Jeff Bezos: father is a Cuban immigrant. - Sergey Brin: Soviet immigrant, born in Moscow. - Jensen Huang: Taiwanese immigrant. - Elon Musk: South African immigrant. 5 of the magnificent 7.…

RT by @Noahpinion: Amazing. As a condition of letting Nippon Steel acquire U.S. Steel, Trump insisted the U.S. government be given a managing stake in the company, giving it veto power over a host of potential decisions by Nippon. He's effectively nationalized the company. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/15/business/economy/golden-share-us-steel-nippon-trump.html

https://xcancel.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1934366833345503455#m

Published: June 15, 2025 21:46

Amazing. As a condition of letting Nippon Steel acquire U.S. Steel, Trump insisted the U.S. government be given a managing stake in the company, giving it veto power over a host of potential decisions by Nippon. He's effectively nationalized the company. …

Bruh idk, Iran has 9x Israel's population and 3x their GDP (PPP). And Iran has plenty of smart people. I don't see how Israel can win a protracted all-out confrontation with them...

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934349546680959178#m

Published: June 15, 2025 20:37

Bruh idk, Iran has 9x Israel's population and 3x their GDP (PPP). And Iran has plenty of smart people. I don't see how Israel can win a protracted all-out confrontation with them...

😂😂😂 It's funny because it's true, but also it's sad because it's true

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934337887346319561#m

Published: June 15, 2025 19:51

😂😂😂 It's funny because it's true, but also it's sad because it's true xcancel.com/WhickTv/status/1934318986952593839#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Thanks to @WSJopinion for inviting me to expand this post into a brief letter. “While Israel’s operations are worthy of celebration, they should also serve as a wake-up call for U.S. policymakers.”

https://xcancel.com/michaelsobolik/status/1934314504004735135#m

Published: June 15, 2025 18:18

Thanks to @WSJopinion for inviting me to expand this post into a brief letter. “While Israel’s operations are worthy of celebration, they should also serve as a wake-up call for U.S. policymakers.” xcancel.com/michaelsobolik/status/1933514593789522013#m

If you're interested, we're going to have a rabbit petting event this week at the SF Commons! Come by and meet some rabbits and learn why they make great pets! https://lu.ma/noahxsaveabunny

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934309700277047388#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:59

If you're interested, we're going to have a rabbit petting event this week at the SF Commons! Come by and meet some rabbits and learn why they make great pets! lu.ma/noahxsaveabunny

With the caveat that BLM 2020 should definitely be counted as a political protest, this is pretty impressive!!

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934308107590779184#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:52

With the caveat that BLM 2020 should definitely be counted as a political protest, this is pretty impressive!! xcancel.com/aidan_mclau/status/1934264463701770347#m

AI alignment was never a problem. Resist Lib was always hardcoded into the deep data structures of the Universe. 😃

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934305347684241583#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:41

AI alignment was never a problem. Resist Lib was always hardcoded into the deep data structures of the Universe. 😃 xcancel.com/emollick/status/1934278025685901374#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Really good piece by Noah Smith who's become one of my favorite pundits

https://xcancel.com/CathyYoung63/status/1934302663283503317#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:31

Really good piece by Noah Smith who's become one of my favorite pundits xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934300388116815918#m

Trump is cosplaying as a dictator. But so far he's backed down on: * tariffs * ICE sweeps * Abrego Garcia * Greenland/Canada/Panama * Ukraine aid * DOGE He does care about public opinion, a lot. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-cautiously-optimistic-about

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934300388116815918#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:22

Trump is cosplaying as a dictator. But so far he's backed down on: * tariffs * ICE sweeps * Abrego Garcia * Greenland/Canada/Panama * Ukraine aid * DOGE He does care about public opinion, a lot. noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-ca…

Watching Daniel obsess over the Israel-Iran war is making me glad I invested in his company. This is Founder Mode

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934298682477982171#m

Published: June 15, 2025 17:15

Watching Daniel obsess over the Israel-Iran war is making me glad I invested in his company. This is Founder Mode xcancel.com/growing_daniel/status/1934296429289181419#m

RT by @Noahpinion: Read theory. "Together our results show that protests can build political movements that ultimately affect policymaking, and that they do so by influencing political views rather than solely through the revelation of existing political preferences." https://www.hks.harvard.edu/publications/do-political-protests-matter-evidence-tea-party-movement

https://xcancel.com/besttrousers/status/1934286533089001851#m

Published: June 15, 2025 16:27

Read theory. "Together our results show that protests can build political movements that ultimately affect policymaking, and that they do so by influencing political views rather than solely through the revelation of existing political preferences." …

"America is facing an authoritarian movement, but it’s one that’s turning out to be far more irresolute and incompetent than we had dared to hope a few months ago." https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-cautiously-optimistic-about

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934252806568853545#m

Published: June 15, 2025 14:13

"America is facing an authoritarian movement, but it’s one that’s turning out to be far more irresolute and incompetent than we had dared to hope a few months ago." noahpinion.blog/p/feeling-ca…

Never forget that Donald Trump put this fucking psycho in charge of America's health policy

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934207255475556744#m

Published: June 15, 2025 11:12

Never forget that Donald Trump put this fucking psycho in charge of America's health policy xcancel.com/highbrow_nobrow/status/1933928731740881327#m

The problem with complaining is that the people you're complaining about are generally the same people you're complaining to

https://xcancel.com/Noahpinion/status/1934113917573464336#m

Published: June 15, 2025 05:01

The problem with complaining is that the people you're complaining about are generally the same people you're complaining to

RT by @Noahpinion: Last week I got so much heat for saying that there should be more American flags at the protests. I’m happy to say, there the American Flags and patriots were out in full force for the No Kings protests today! Here’s an ongoing thread of American pride on display 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

https://xcancel.com/YIMBYLAND/status/1934069439873323168#m

Published: June 15, 2025 02:04

Last week I got so much heat for saying that there should be more American flags at the protests. I’m happy to say, there the American Flags and patriots were out in full force for the No Kings protests today! Here’s an ongoing thread of American pride…

RT by @Noahpinion: There are many abundance verticals - but an underdiscussed one is defense abundance. Drones, missiles, ships, missile defense — we have seen plenty of conflicts which tell us that America needs to expand its production capacity immensely on all these fronts.

https://xcancel.com/arpitrage/status/1934065644305330618#m

Published: June 15, 2025 01:49

There are many abundance verticals - but an underdiscussed one is defense abundance. Drones, missiles, ships, missile defense — we have seen plenty of conflicts which tell us that America needs to expand its production capacity immensely on all these…

RT by @Noahpinion: I just got back from the Trump parade and I have to say it was legitimately the worst executed mass attendance event I’ve ever seen One overarching thought: how do you spend $80 million and fumble the basics? Many more thoughts - 🧵 🧵 🧵

https://xcancel.com/dougblandry/status/1934052056878243848#m

Published: June 15, 2025 00:55

I just got back from the Trump parade and I have to say it was legitimately the worst executed mass attendance event I’ve ever seen One overarching thought: how do you spend $80 million and fumble the basics? Many more thoughts - 🧵 🧵 🧵

RT by @Noahpinion: The % of manufacturers who "delayed or cancelled investments" because of tariffs is really the most devastating one for tariff advocates The "smart" theory was that it would raise prices to force companies to invest domestically, turns out it only makes building in the US harder

https://xcancel.com/JosephPolitano/status/1934045926341091799#m

Published: June 15, 2025 00:30

The % of manufacturers who "delayed or cancelled investments" because of tariffs is really the most devastating one for tariff advocates The "smart" theory was that it would raise prices to force companies to invest domestically, turns out it only makes…

RT by @Noahpinion: What an embarrassing debacle. There were more people protesting in El Cerrito, California (pop 28k).

https://xcancel.com/Nowooski/status/1934036400602546334#m

Published: June 14, 2025 23:53

What an embarrassing debacle. There were more people protesting in El Cerrito, California (pop 28k). xcancel.com/ElizLanders/status/1934018229661565431#m

RT by @Noahpinion: The tariffs have been an unmitigated disaster for domestic manufacturing

https://xcancel.com/AlecStapp/status/1934032532003074179#m

Published: June 14, 2025 23:37

The tariffs have been an unmitigated disaster for domestic manufacturing xcancel.com/scottlincicome/status/1933893003493412908#m

RT by @Noahpinion: The most important voices against developing land for energy, glyphosate and other ag practices, lab meat, cloud seeding, IVF, vaccines, etc. now come from the right rather than the left. Techno-optimists need to give up hippie punching. That time is over.

https://xcancel.com/duncan__c/status/1933943866354204781#m

Published: June 14, 2025 17:45

The most important voices against developing land for energy, glyphosate and other ag practices, lab meat, cloud seeding, IVF, vaccines, etc. now come from the right rather than the left. Techno-optimists need to give up hippie punching. That time is…

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