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Ted Oakley of @OxbowAdvisors warns that we're currently in a "lemming market" At some point, he says from the experience of past cycles, they will follow each other off a cliff & suffer losses that often set them back years WATCH: https://youtu.be/14RyAUeYSgY

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2066170742979588474#m

Published: June 14, 2026 14:47

Ted Oakley of @OxbowAdvisors warns that we're currently in a "lemming market" At some point, he says from the experience of past cycles, they will follow each other off a cliff & suffer losses that often set them back years WATCH: youtu.be/14RyAUeYSgY

R to @thoughtfulmoney: Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) 🔽 https://adamtaggart.substack.com

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065900538865303805#m

Published: June 13, 2026 20:54

Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) 🔽 adamtaggart.substack.com

Are Mega IPOs Like SpaceX Signaling A Late-Cycle Market? In this Short video, @JonathanWellum and @AdamTaggart discuss what the surge in mega IPOs could be telling investors about market sentiment, liquidity, and where we may be in the current cycle. For years, investors have argued that the best companies no longer need to go public early. With private capital markets awash in money, firms can stay private longer, avoid regulatory burdens, and raise billions without tapping public investors. That raises an important question: why are giant private companies like #SpaceX $SPCX, #OpenAI, and #Anthropic suddenly preparing massive IPOs? One explanation is simple: market conditions are extremely favorable. Valuations are high, investor enthusiasm is strong, and early backers are sitting on extraordinary gains. If you're an insider, why not create liquidity and take some money off the table while demand is plentiful? But there is another side to the story. These aren't typical startups anymore. They're becoming trillion-dollar or potentially multi-trillion-dollar businesses with enormous capital requirements. At a certain size, even private markets may struggle to absorb the funding needs. Public markets offer access to a much larger pool of capital while spreading risk across a broader investor base. SpaceX is a perfect example. Between Starlink expansion, launch infrastructure, next-generation space initiatives, and ambitious long-term projects, the company could require hundreds of billions of dollars in capital over the coming years. Going public isn't just about cashing out—it's also about funding massive growth ambitions. Still, investors should separate a great story from a great investment. Elon Musk's vision is compelling, but the path forward will likely be volatile. Large capital raises, execution risks, regulatory hurdles, political challenges, and inevitable setbacks are all part of the equation. Revolutionary businesses rarely move in a straight line. A key warning sign is the growing level of retail excitement. When people with little interest in financial markets suddenly feel they "have to own" a hot IPO, it often signals that expectations may be running ahead of reality. The hype may be justified, but paying any price for that hype is where investors can get into trouble. So, mega IPOs may reflect both extraordinary growth opportunities and a late-cycle appetite for risk. Insiders may be creating liquidity while market conditions are favorable, but these companies also need enormous amounts of capital to pursue their ambitious goals. Investors shouldn't feel pressured to buy on day one. Sometimes the smartest move is to let the excitement settle, watch how the story develops, and focus on valuation rather than hype. 🔽 Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with @JonathanWellum by visiting my Substack (link below) 🔽

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065900462210273360#m

Published: June 13, 2026 20:53

Are Mega IPOs Like SpaceX Signaling A Late-Cycle Market? In this Short video, @JonathanWellum and @AdamTaggart discuss what the surge in mega IPOs could be telling investors about market sentiment, liquidity, and where we may be in the current cycle. For…

Markets are a chaotic mess right now Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions, says @michaellebowitz Which direction is more likely to win out? WATCH: https://youtu.be/AorGCJcj9cw

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065808841942691931#m

Published: June 13, 2026 14:49

Markets are a chaotic mess right now Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions, says @michaellebowitz Which direction is more likely to win out? WATCH: youtu.be/AorGCJcj9cw

R to @thoughtfulmoney: Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) ⬇️ https://adamtaggart.substack.com

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065489750723817897#m

Published: June 12, 2026 17:41

Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) ⬇️ adamtaggart.substack.com

What If Warsh Cuts Rates Next Week? Markets are overwhelmingly expecting Kevin Warsh to keep rates unchanged at his first Fed meeting next week, with some traders even pricing in the possibility of higher rates later this year. But what if the consensus is wrong? In this Short video, , fix the world"">@LawrenceLepard presents the contrarian case that Warsh could be far more dovish than investors expect. The argument starts with inflation. Warsh has suggested that traditional inflation measures may overstate current price pressures and that alternative metrics, such as Dallas Trimmed PCE, paint a much cooler picture. If inflation is closer to target than headline data suggests, the justification for maintaining restrictive policy becomes much weaker. Another key piece of the thesis is productivity. Warsh has repeatedly discussed the transformative impact of AI on economic output. If artificial intelligence drives a meaningful productivity boom, the economy could grow faster without generating the same inflationary pressures that normally accompany growth. That would give the Fed more room to lower rates without reigniting inflation. The discussion also highlights the possibility that recent inflation pressures are being driven by temporary factors, particularly energy prices and geopolitical tensions. If those pressures ease, inflation could fall naturally, strengthening the case for easier monetary policy. There is also a broader economic backdrop to consider. The administration has made economic growth, domestic manufacturing, and reindustrialization central priorities. Building factories, infrastructure, and supply chains requires capital, and high interest rates make those investments more difficult. Lower rates would provide the financial fuel needed to accelerate those goals. The most controversial part of the conversation is the suggestion that Warsh could deliver not just a rate cut, but potentially a larger-than-expected cut (50 bps) if he wants to quickly reset policy. While that remains a low-probability outcome, , fix the world"">@LawrenceLepard argues that markets may be underestimating the possibility of a significant shift in direction. If that happens, stocks could respond very positively as lower rates improve liquidity, reduce financing costs, and support higher valuations. However, the bigger story may be in #bonds. Long-term Treasury investors could view aggressive easing as inflationary or fiscally irresponsible, pushing #yields sharply higher. In that scenario, equities celebrate the pivot while the bond market revolts. So, according to , fix the world"">@LawrenceLepard, Kevin Warsh may not follow the path investors currently expect. If he embraces alternative inflation measures, leans on the AI productivity story, and prioritizes growth, the market could be forced to rapidly reprice both interest-rate expectations and long-term bond yields. 🔽Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with , fix the world"">@LawrenceLepard by visiting my Substack (link below) ⬇️

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065489686437724432#m

Published: June 12, 2026 17:41

What If Warsh Cuts Rates Next Week? Markets are overwhelmingly expecting Kevin Warsh to keep rates unchanged at his first Fed meeting next week, with some traders even pricing in the possibility of higher rates later this year. But what if the consensus…

Could the "Magnificent 7" soon become the "Maleficent 7"? @jessefelder thinks the A.I. bubble is in the process of bursting right now, becoming an A.I. bust that will pull down the economy & financial markets together WATCH: https://youtu.be/bXJQMHO5Bx4

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2065085386842611887#m

Published: June 11, 2026 14:54

Could the "Magnificent 7" soon become the "Maleficent 7"? @jessefelder thinks the A.I. bubble is in the process of bursting right now, becoming an A.I. bust that will pull down the economy & financial markets together WATCH: youtu.be/bXJQMHO5Bx4

R to @thoughtfulmoney: Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) ⬇️ https://adamtaggart.substack.com

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2064507314250596560#m

Published: June 10, 2026 00:37

Summaries of the key takeaways from the interviews I conduct each week (for premium subscribers) ⬇️ adamtaggart.substack.com

Understanding The Difference Between A Market Correction And A Market Rotation | Lance Roberts In this Short video, @LanceRoberts and @AdamTaggart discuss why investors may be expecting the wrong type of correction. Many market participants assume that after a powerful rally, the next step is a broad 5-10% decline across the major indexes. Lance argues that the market may instead experience a rotational correction, where leadership changes beneath the surface while the overall market holds up relatively well. This rally has been driven largely by a narrow group of mega-cap technology and semiconductor stocks. Semiconductors $SMH $SOXX alone have been one of the biggest engines of market performance, and after an extraordinary run, signs are emerging that investors are beginning to take profits and reduce exposure to the sector. $NVDA $MU $AMD $INTC $AVGO At the same time, money appears to be flowing into areas that have lagged for much of the rally. Value stocks and higher-quality companies are beginning to attract interest as investors look for opportunities outside the crowded AI and semiconductor trades. This distinction is important because technology and communication services account for roughly half of $SPX. Even if money stays invested in equities, weakness in those heavily weighted sectors can pull the major indexes lower. As a result, the market could experience a modest pullback without the kind of widespread selloff many investors are anticipating. Rather than money leaving the market altogether, capital may simply be rotating from one group of stocks to another. Adam compares it to water sloshing from one side of a bathtub to the other. The water remains in the tub, but leadership changes. If this process continues, investors may not get the large buy-the-dip opportunity they are waiting for. Instead, the next phase of the market could be defined by valuation compression in technology and semiconductors alongside improving performance from value and quality sectors. Not all corrections look the same. Sometimes the market adjusts through falling prices. Other times, it adjusts through changes in leadership, with money rotating out of the biggest winners and into areas that have been overlooked. 🔽Get access to my notes with the key takeaways from this interview with @LanceRoberts by visiting my Substack (link below) ⬇️

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2064507247204700276#m

Published: June 10, 2026 00:37

Understanding The Difference Between A Market Correction And A Market Rotation | Lance Roberts In this Short video, @LanceRoberts and @AdamTaggart discuss why investors may be expecting the wrong type of correction. Many market participants assume that…

With asset prices stretched to historic extremes & so many macro risk factors currently circulating, heightened volatility is going to be the theme of the back half of 2026 says @JonathanWellum "It's going to be a wild ride" from here, he warns. WATCH: https://youtu.be/EoUJfrCDHvg

https://nitter.poast.org/thoughtfulmoney/status/2064361396998193412#m

Published: June 9, 2026 14:58

With asset prices stretched to historic extremes & so many macro risk factors currently circulating, heightened volatility is going to be the theme of the back half of 2026 says @JonathanWellum "It's going to be a wild ride" from here, he warns. WATCH:…