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I'll be at #SmartBash this Thursday if anyone on here is attending and would like to meet/catch up

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2058870641512644925#m

Published: May 25, 2026 11:19

I'll be at #SmartBash this Thursday if anyone on here is attending and would like to meet/catch up

RT by @LadPolitics: Makerfield by-election briefing. Data tables and all prior materials are on the link below: Points to note. *This is a poll of 505 people in Makerfield this week and should be seen as an indicative early look. *By-election headline voting intention with named candidates as were available is the 3 point Labour lead over Reform from table V5 *Reform (45%) have a 9 point lead over Labour on a generic Westminster polling question *Burnham has strong leads among women and younger groups, Kenyon fares better with older voters in general and leads among men. *How the Green and Restore campaigns pan out could be key. There's also at least a 7% Green Westminster vote share up for grabs. *Do get in touch if you have question or concerns and have a lovely Sunday! https://mailchi.mp/survation/whats-the-burnham-effect-exactly-11048368?e=[UNIQID]

https://nitter.poast.org/DamianSurvation/status/2058458494290780416#m

Published: May 24, 2026 08:02

Makerfield by-election briefing. Data tables and all prior materials are on the link below: Points to note. *This is a poll of 505 people in Makerfield this week and should be seen as an indicative early look. *By-election headline voting intention with…

We're almost certainly now at a point where Labour will become the new favourites in the Most Seats market if they win in Makerfield, if not before

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2057448775275217396#m

Published: May 21, 2026 13:09

We're almost certainly now at a point where Labour will become the new favourites in the Most Seats market if they win in Makerfield, if not before Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) Reform UK are now 6/4 to win the most seats at the next General…

Reform UK are now 6/4 to win the most seats at the next General Election, with Labour and the Conservatives both shortening in recent days. Reform UK - 6/4 Labour - 2/1 Conservatives - 9/2 Restore Britain - 11/1 Greens - 16/1 200/1 bar https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/uk-next-general-election/245440619/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2057446560997281919#m

Published: May 21, 2026 13:01

Reform UK are now 6/4 to win the most seats at the next General Election, with Labour and the Conservatives both shortening in recent days. Reform UK - 6/4 Labour - 2/1 Conservatives - 9/2 Restore Britain - 11/1 Greens - 16/1 200/1 bar …

We're now 6/1 on a 2026 General Election 2026 - 6/1 2027 - 5/1 2028 - 2/1 2029 or later - 6/5 https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/uk-next-general-election/245440619/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2057191423611462053#m

Published: May 20, 2026 20:07

We're now 6/1 on a 2026 General Election 2026 - 6/1 2027 - 5/1 2028 - 2/1 2029 or later - 6/5 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even… Martin Daubney 🇬🇧 (@MartinDaubney) WHAT PRICE AN EARLY GENERAL ELECTION? If - if - Burnham wins in Makerfield, will Burnham…

Who will win the three by-elections on 18th June? SNP open as solid favourites in Arbroath & Broughty Ferry (1/5) and Aberdeen South (1/3) Labour are currently 8/15 favourites in Makerfield

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056785034552451529#m

Published: May 19, 2026 17:12

Who will win the three by-elections on 18th June? SNP open as solid favourites in Arbroath & Broughty Ferry (1/5) and Aberdeen South (1/3) Labour are currently 8/15 favourites in Makerfield

All 3 by-elections confirmed for 18th June. Any idea which will be first to declare and a rough time? Mexico v South Korea at 2am is definitely calling

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056759370210238472#m

Published: May 19, 2026 15:30

All 3 by-elections confirmed for 18th June. Any idea which will be first to declare and a rough time? Mexico v South Korea at 2am is definitely calling Lucy Dunn (@lucyidunn) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 NEW: The Aberdeen South by-election will take place on 18th June,…

Cairns 3%

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056745073627349281#m

Published: May 19, 2026 14:33

Cairns 3% Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) NEW - YouGov Labour members polling If there is a leadership contest, your first preference: Burnham 47% Starmer 31% Rayner 8% Streeting 4% Miliband 3% Cooper 3% Mahmood 1% Carns 0% Head to heads: Burnham 59%…

Now that Labour & Reform UK have confirmed their candidates for Makerfield, let's take a look at the betting: Labour - 8/15 Reform UK - 9/4 Restore Britain - 6/1 Greens - 150/1 Conservatives - 300/1 Liberal Democrats - 400/1 https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/2026-makerfield-by-election-must-take-place-in-2026-oor-bets-will-be-void/255921268/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056736274807959798#m

Published: May 19, 2026 13:58

Now that Labour & Reform UK have confirmed their candidates for Makerfield, let's take a look at the betting: Labour - 8/15 Reform UK - 9/4 Restore Britain - 6/1 Greens - 150/1 Conservatives - 300/1 Liberal Democrats - 400/1 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…

RT by @LadPolitics: The Makerfield by-election is confirmed to be fought between: 🔴 Andy Burnham — Mayor of Greater Manchester, highest net approval in the country 🔵 Robert Kenyon — 2024 candidate, local, plumber, previously came 2nd with 31.8% of the vote This could be very close

https://nitter.poast.org/JoshHousden/status/2056725332883800094#m

Published: May 19, 2026 13:15

The Makerfield by-election is confirmed to be fought between: 🔴 Andy Burnham — Mayor of Greater Manchester, highest net approval in the country 🔵 Robert Kenyon — 2024 candidate, local, plumber, previously came 2nd with 31.8% of the vote This could be…

Who will win the upcoming by-election in Aberdeen South? 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ SNP - 1/2 Conservatives - 9/4 Labour - 8/1 Reform UK - 14/1 Lib Dems - 100/1 Green Party - 200/1 https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/scottish-politics/2026-aberdeen-south-by-election-must-take-place-in-2026-or-bets-will-be-void/255978633/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056342742049984862#m

Published: May 18, 2026 11:54

Who will win the upcoming by-election in Aberdeen South? 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ SNP - 1/2 Conservatives - 9/4 Labour - 8/1 Reform UK - 14/1 Lib Dems - 100/1 Green Party - 200/1 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…

Dawn Butler is now 8/1 to be the next Mayor of London https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/next-london-mayoral-election/247908258/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2056330343758614549#m

Published: May 18, 2026 11:05

Dawn Butler is now 8/1 to be the next Mayor of London ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even… Ava-Santina (@AvaSantina) EXCL: Dawn Butler to announce run for Mayor of London Announcement expected this Wednesday. Sadiq Khan *still deciding* whether to run for…

RT by @LadPolitics: Not according to the betting…

https://nitter.poast.org/DizzyJB/status/2056310212567404631#m

Published: May 18, 2026 09:45

Not according to the betting… Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) Ladbrokes now give Labour a 69% chance of winning in Makerfield Here's how we bet: Labour - 4/9 Reform UK - 15/8 Restore Britain - 20/1 Greens - 100/1 Conservatives - 200/1 Lib Dems -…

Pep's not a Makerfield constituent, is he?

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2055723637861126281#m

Published: May 16, 2026 18:54

Pep's not a Makerfield constituent, is he? Miguel Delaney (@MiguelDelaney) Pep Guardiola: "Yesterday was a nightmare. We spent six hours travelling down. "The trains in this country are a problem." —…

Ladbrokes now give Labour a 69% chance of winning in Makerfield Here's how we bet: Labour - 4/9 Reform UK - 15/8 Restore Britain - 20/1 Greens - 100/1 Conservatives - 200/1 Lib Dems - 200/1 https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/2026-makerfield-by-election-must-take-place-in-2026-oor-bets-will-be-void/255921268/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2055680822896652447#m

Published: May 16, 2026 16:04

Ladbrokes now give Labour a 69% chance of winning in Makerfield Here's how we bet: Labour - 4/9 Reform UK - 15/8 Restore Britain - 20/1 Greens - 100/1 Conservatives - 200/1 Lib Dems - 200/1 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…

Will Restore Britain save their deposit? (Void if they don't stand a candidate) Yes - 2/5 (71%) No - 15/8 (35%) https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/2026-makerfield-by-election-must-take-place-in-2026-oor-bets-will-be-void/255921268/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2055244906147258429#m

Published: May 15, 2026 11:12

Will Restore Britain save their deposit? (Void if they don't stand a candidate) Yes - 2/5 (71%) No - 15/8 (35%) ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even… (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) OK, the Lowe Life really are swarming out this morning. To save me tweeting the…

RT by @LadPolitics: 🚨NEW: Restore Britain are third most likely to win the Makerfield By-Election Winner Odds (implied chance): 🌹 LAB: 8/13 (53%) ➡️ REF: 5/4 (38%) 🇬🇧 RES: 16/1 (5%) 🌍 GRN: 33/1 (2%) 🌳 CON: 66/1 (1%) 🔸 LDM: 200/1 (0%) Via @Ladbrokes, 14th May

https://nitter.poast.org/GBPolitcs/status/2055016675443908720#m

Published: May 14, 2026 20:05

🚨NEW: Restore Britain are third most likely to win the Makerfield By-Election Winner Odds (implied chance): 🌹 LAB: 8/13 (53%) ➡️ REF: 5/4 (38%) 🇬🇧 RES: 16/1 (5%) 🌍 GRN: 33/1 (2%) 🌳 CON: 66/1 (1%) 🔸 LDM: 200/1 (0%) Via @Ladbrokes, 14th May

RT by @LadPolitics: Ladbrokes have Restore Britain as third favourite in Makerfield ahead of the Greens, Tories and Lib Dems. Interesting.

https://nitter.poast.org/RupertLowe10/status/2055011259376873976#m

Published: May 14, 2026 19:43

Ladbrokes have Restore Britain as third favourite in Makerfield ahead of the Greens, Tories and Lib Dems. Interesting.

Will the Conservatives stand in Makerfield?

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2054996761463116165#m

Published: May 14, 2026 18:46

Will the Conservatives stand in Makerfield?

Labour to win 2026 Makerfield By-election and Most Seats at the next General Election - 3/1 https://www.ladbrokes.com/en/sports/event/politics/uk/uk-politics/uk-next-general-election/245440619/main-markets

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2054991104357843094#m

Published: May 14, 2026 18:23

Labour to win 2026 Makerfield By-election and Most Seats at the next General Election - 3/1 ladbrokes.com/en/sports/even…

We've opened with Labour as 4/7 favs and I wouldn't be surprised if that shortens tonight For what it's worth (probably not much), I suspect the 'Burnham effect' is being slightly underestimated, at least on here anyway

https://nitter.poast.org/LadPolitics/status/2054986269441049052#m

Published: May 14, 2026 18:04

We've opened with Labour as 4/7 favs and I wouldn't be surprised if that shortens tonight For what it's worth (probably not much), I suspect the 'Burnham effect' is being slightly underestimated, at least on here anyway Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) Doing this…