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RT by @PME_Politics: Hungary, List vote, 83.2% counted: Seat projection national parliament TISZA-EPP: 138 (+1) Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 54 (-1) MH-ESN: 7 +/- vs. 74.4% counted ➤ http://europeelects.eu/hungary

https://nitter.net/EuropeElects/status/2043426081634398344#m

Published: April 12, 2026 20:28

Hungary, List vote, 83.2% counted: Seat projection national parliament TISZA-EPP: 138 (+1) Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 54 (-1) MH-ESN: 7 +/- vs. 74.4% counted ➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

RT by @PME_Politics: I increasingly think Tisza will win at least the 133 seats needed for a constitutional majority. They are at 138 now and should pick up a couple as the list votes are counted. They could lose a couple of district seats as the final votes come in, but not seven.

https://nitter.net/henryolsenEPPC/status/2043419698646110562#m

Published: April 12, 2026 20:03

I increasingly think Tisza will win at least the 133 seats needed for a constitutional majority. They are at 138 now and should pick up a couple as the list votes are counted. They could lose a couple of district seats as the final votes come in, but not…

This is a huge, huge result. Massive ramifications for domestic Hungarian politics, for EU (defence) politics and policy, and for Russia’s influence in Europe. Big.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2043412362523189736#m

Published: April 12, 2026 19:34

This is a huge, huge result. Massive ramifications for domestic Hungarian politics, for EU (defence) politics and policy, and for Russia’s influence in Europe. Big. Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) IT'S OV-AH! Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party will lose…

R to @PME_Politics: Another reason for model bullishness is the fragmentation of the pro-Union constituency vote behind the SNP, plus the boost they get from the Greens stepping aside in all but six seats. Projected SNP majorities range from 7pts in Dumfriesshire to 27pts in Coatbridge and Chryston

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994713536450932#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

Another reason for model bullishness is the fragmentation of the pro-Union constituency vote behind the SNP, plus the boost they get from the Greens stepping aside in all but six seats. Projected SNP majorities range from 7pts in Dumfriesshire to 27pts in…

R to @PME_Politics: These SNP cushions, plus the projected strong performance of the Greens, make it very difficult to see anything other than yet another SNP-led administration after May 7th *as things stand*. As for securing official opposition status, it's a battle between Reform and Labour.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994715151184241#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

These SNP cushions, plus the projected strong performance of the Greens, make it very difficult to see anything other than yet another SNP-led administration after May 7th *as things stand*. As for securing official opposition status, it's a battle…

R to @PME_Politics: Our model is, as it stands, pretty bullish on an SNP majority despite them only being two seats above the line (65). The reason why is that even if the SNP start losing constituency seats, in many such scenarios they start winning extra regional list seats to compensate.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994707819528661#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

Our model is, as it stands, pretty bullish on an SNP majority despite them only being two seats above the line (65). The reason why is that even if the SNP start losing constituency seats, in many such scenarios they start winning extra regional list…

R to @PME_Politics: For example, let's imagine that Labour benefited from a big push of tactical Unionist support in Central and took three seats off the SNP there. Unless the SNP also started dropping list votes, they'd win one regional seat to take them back up to 65!

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994709627293905#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

For example, let's imagine that Labour benefited from a big push of tactical Unionist support in Central and took three seats off the SNP there. Unless the SNP also started dropping list votes, they'd win one regional seat to take them back up to 65!

R to @PME_Politics: Similarly, let's say the SNP lost Moray in the Highlands and Islands to Reform, who are currently second placed there. The SNP would immediately then win a list seat in that region to compensate for that loss.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994711745470510#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

Similarly, let's say the SNP lost Moray in the Highlands and Islands to Reform, who are currently second placed there. The SNP would immediately then win a list seat in that region to compensate for that loss.

R to @PME_Politics: They do so in our model by hoovering up all but seven of Holyrood's 73 constituencies, plus a regional list seat in the Highland and Islands. Such is the extent of the SNP constituency sweep, our central projection has Labour winning zero constituencies for the first time ever.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994704032137572#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

They do so in our model by hoovering up all but seven of Holyrood's 73 constituencies, plus a regional list seat in the Highland and Islands. Such is the extent of the SNP constituency sweep, our central projection has Labour winning zero constituencies…

R to @PME_Politics: Each of Labour's 15 seats come from the lists. Similarly, while we currently have Reform in second place, all their 20 projected wins are also list seats. The Greens however we think have a good shot at winning their first ever Holyrood constituency (either Glasgow/Edinburgh).

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994705835741669#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

Each of Labour's 15 seats come from the lists. Similarly, while we currently have Reform in second place, all their 20 projected wins are also list seats. The Greens however we think have a good shot at winning their first ever Holyrood constituency…

We've released our first MRP of the 2026 Holyrood election! Scotland is never an easy place in which to project elections, but we've given it a go. Based on the data, our central expectation is that the SNP would win an outright majority if the election were happening right now

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2042994701754564815#m

Published: April 11, 2026 15:54

We've released our first MRP of the 2026 Holyrood election! Scotland is never an easy place in which to project elections, but we've given it a go. Based on the data, our central expectation is that the SNP would win an outright majority if the election…

RT by @PME_Politics: This must be a record for numbers of candidates per seat, it’s almost 5 full slates?

https://nitter.net/MattSingh_/status/2042943722447384725#m

Published: April 11, 2026 12:31

This must be a record for numbers of candidates per seat, it’s almost 5 full slates? Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) 🚨 2026 LOCAL ELECTIONS TOTAL NUMBER OF SEATS CONTESTED (/2952): ➡️ RFM: 2,950 (99.9%) 🌳 CON: 2,893 (98.0%) 🌹 LAB: 2,857 (96.8%) 🌍…

RT by @PME_Politics: 🚨The SNP are set to win again in Scotland - but this exclusive poll from @YouGov projects some systemic changes beyond that. We're a long way from July 2024. With @JoshGafson1 @joelysantacruz and @SamCoatesSky.

https://nitter.net/JoeCookJ/status/2042715015325667645#m

Published: April 10, 2026 21:23

🚨The SNP are set to win again in Scotland - but this exclusive poll from @YouGov projects some systemic changes beyond that. We're a long way from July 2024. With @JoshGafson1 @joelysantacruz and @SamCoatesSky. Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) Video …

RT by @PME_Politics: INCREDIBLE news. The imps have absolutely lit the whole city up.

https://nitter.net/HFalconerMP/status/2041186136924504464#m

Published: April 6, 2026 16:07

INCREDIBLE news. The imps have absolutely lit the whole city up. Lincoln City FC 🇺🇦 (@LincolnCity_FC) 🥹 65 YEARS IN THE MAKING! 🤩 City are back in the @SkyBetChamp! ⌚️ FT | 👑 1-2 🔴 — https://nitter.net/LincolnCity_FC/status/2041183908528533930#m

The longer the crisis has gone on, the worse that opinions on Starmer’s handling of it have become. What impact, if any at all, will any new government cost of living action have on such assessments?

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2038668047645356233#m

Published: March 30, 2026 17:21

The longer the crisis has gone on, the worse that opinions on Starmer’s handling of it have become. What impact, if any at all, will any new government cost of living action have on such assessments? YouGov (@YouGov) Britons increasingly believe Keir…

This is the content we need in our lives

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2038667192598704566#m

Published: March 30, 2026 17:18

This is the content we need in our lives Ketch ⚽️ (@ketchell) Premier League table but based off the time to walk to each club's closest Greggs #MindTheGap — https://nitter.net/ketchell/status/2038625691369910473#m

This is my preferred ‘thread of takes’ from the Danish election. Four very short, sharp points which tell us some of the stories of the election in data.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2037242370731708538#m

Published: March 26, 2026 18:56

This is my preferred ‘thread of takes’ from the Danish election. Four very short, sharp points which tell us some of the stories of the election in data. Frederik Hjorth (@fghjorth) FOUR GRAPHS ABOUT 🇩🇰'S GENERAL ELECTION My read of the election in…

RT by @PME_Politics: Some interesting insights on the role of religion and public life from @CameronGarrett_. Key take aways most people see positives and negatives of religion, but have some concerns about particular religious practices and questions about religion and the state.

https://nitter.net/LukeTryl/status/2037216651876172177#m

Published: March 26, 2026 17:14

Some interesting insights on the role of religion and public life from @CameronGarrett_. Key take aways most people see positives and negatives of religion, but have some concerns about particular religious practices and questions about religion and the…

RT by @PME_Politics: We are delighted with the debut success of our new LSS model at the 🇩🇰Danish general election 🔴Red bloc parties: 85 seats predicted (+1 from actual result) 🔵Blue bloc parties: 79 seats predicted (+2) Across all parties, our model had an average error of just 0.88pts on vote share and only 1.67 on seats 👇

https://nitter.net/YouGov/status/2036836915727536536#m

Published: March 25, 2026 16:05

We are delighted with the debut success of our new LSS model at the 🇩🇰Danish general election 🔴Red bloc parties: 85 seats predicted (+1 from actual result) 🔵Blue bloc parties: 79 seats predicted (+2) Across all parties, our model had an average error of…

Based on almost all results in, it looks like the YouGov LSS model has had a really good night in Denmark! Just one party (F - Green Left) lies outside the model’s predicted intervals, out of a total 12 parties projected. Very proud of the team, here! More to follow tomorrow 😊

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2036580253414355113#m

Published: March 24, 2026 23:05

Based on almost all results in, it looks like the YouGov LSS model has had a really good night in Denmark! Just one party (F - Green Left) lies outside the model’s predicted intervals, out of a total 12 parties projected. Very proud of the team, here!…

Our political favourability ratings for March are all fairly stable on February, with the exception of some notable downward shifts for both Ed Davey (-4 vs Feb) and Zak Polanski (-6).

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2036498913897730277#m

Published: March 24, 2026 17:42

Our political favourability ratings for March are all fairly stable on February, with the exception of some notable downward shifts for both Ed Davey (-4 vs Feb) and Zak Polanski (-6). YouGov (@YouGov) Latest party leader net favourability ratings,…

Exactly my thought when I saw these photos. This has the potential to upset and alienate big numbers of their own fan base - I doubt all Ipswich fans are part of the ~30% of Brits who like Farage. Also paints a picture of the club (and of football!) to non-fans who may dislike.

https://nitter.net/PME_Politics/status/2036407094639734884#m

Published: March 24, 2026 11:37

Exactly my thought when I saw these photos. This has the potential to upset and alienate big numbers of their own fan base - I doubt all Ipswich fans are part of the ~30% of Brits who like Farage. Also paints a picture of the club (and of football!) to…