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Computational Economics
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Posts: 8
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Regime-aware conditional neural processes with multi-criteria decision support for operational electricity price forecasting
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05562231&r=&r=cmp
Published: May 1, 2026 00:00
This work integrates Bayesian regime detection with conditional neural processes for 24-hour electricity price forecasting in the German, French, and Norwegian markets. Regimes are inferred via a disentangled sticky hierarchical Dirichlet process hidden…
Using large language models as a source of human behavioral data in social science experiments
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:y74mu_v1&r=&r=cmp
Published: April 3, 2026 00:00
Large language models (LLMs) have prompted proposals to replace human subjects in social science experiments with simulated responses. Empirical evaluations suggest that this practice---often called silicon sampling---can sometimes approximate human…
Machine Learning Approaches for Improving Demand Forecasting Accuracy in Retail Supply Chains
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:4z9be_v1&r=&r=cmp
Published: April 3, 2026 00:00
Accurate demand forecasting remains one of the most critical yet persistently challenging functions in retail supply chain management. Traditional statistical forecasting methods such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing have long served as industry…
Short-Term Stock Price Prediction Based on Single and Stacking Machine Learning Models
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:gtr:gatrjs:gjbssr674&r=&r=cmp
Published: March 31, 2026 00:00
" Objective - As the investment environment improves, individuals are increasingly eager to invest their idle funds. Securities companies have become the preferred choice for buying financial products. The current accuracy of stock predictions relies on…
Bitcoin ETFs and structural decoupling in the cryptocurrency market: evidence from altcoin correlation dynamics
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:137306&r=&r=cmp
Published: February 28, 2026 00:00
The approval of U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in January 2024 marked a key milestone in the institutionalization of digital assets. This study examines how ETF introduction reshaped inter-asset dynamics in the cryptocurrency market.…
ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative AI
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedfwp:102407&r=&r=cmp
Published: February 5, 2026 00:00
Recent research suggests that generic large language models (LLMs) can match the accuracy of traditional methods when forecasting macroeconomic variables in pseudo out-of-sample settings generated via prompts. This paper assesses the out-of-sample…
Artificial intelligence for intelligence analysis
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:3ytzr_v1&r=&r=cmp
Published: February 4, 2026 00:00
Preventing and countering violent extremism (P/CVE) research has long relied on profiling approaches that draw on demographic variables, ideological labels, and observable late-stage behaviours. These strategies have consistently performed poorly, and…
Mechanism Design for Harm Reduction: Game Theory and Social Choice for Carceral MOUD and Recovery Housing
https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:wrkj3_v1&r=&r=cmp
Published: February 3, 2026 00:00
Individuals released from jails and prisons face extremely high risks of fatal overdose and reincarceration, yet many jurisdictions continue to underprovide medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD), recovery housing, and supervised consumption services.…