RSS Parrot

Political business cycles and democratization: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ehl:lserod:138370&r=&r=cdm

Published: May 8, 2026 00:00

The literature on Political Business Cycles (PBCs) has suffered from two limitations, namely a dominant focus on government policies rather than outcomes that could influence voter behaviour, and a lack of attention to the relationship between PBCs and…

Climate Barriers to Democratic Participation

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:ypgsf_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: April 14, 2026 00:00

Extreme weather events can undermine political representation by preventing vulnerable populations from voting. Using georeferenced polling-station records from eight Brazilian elections (2010–2024) matched to daily river discharge, we exploit…

Demography, Early Voting, and Election Integrity in South Korea: Evidence Across Four Electoral Cycles

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:5d94n_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 28, 2026 00:00

Allegations of fraud in South Korean elections have centered primarily on the in-precinct early-voting channel, which consistently produces higher democratic Party vote shares than same-day ballots. We assess these claims using a unified framework applied…

"What Kind of Bias Do I Want?" How Cross-Pressured Voters Select Political Media

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:6rxve_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 18, 2026 00:00

Media selection is an important form of political behavior that often shapes public opinion and voting. While most people select like-minded media, recent evidence suggests that media markets do not represent the growing populations of cross-pressured…

Why Cross-Pressured Voters Are Always Right: Media and Mediators

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:cyhsm_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 18, 2026 00:00

Cross-pressured voters (CPVs) are a large demographic that usually faces ideological trade-offs when voting. They are either economically leftist and culturally conservative ('left-conservatives') or economically rightist and culturally progressive…

Financial Markets and Mass Political Attitudes: Evidence from the 2022 Brazilian Election

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:8b5r6_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 17, 2026 00:00

How do financial markets affect mass attitudes toward candidates in democratic elections? We theorize that, especially in financially open countries in the Global South, voters respond to financial market assessments of candidates for national election. We…

The Pulpit and the Polls: The Electoral Impact of Religious Participation

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:ahky7_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 17, 2026 00:00

We estimate how exposure to religious services affects U.S. voting. Novel sermon corpora show a sharp spike in political content on the Sunday before presidential elections. Exploiting quasi-random rainfall during typical service hours before…

Polarized Contributions but Convergent Agendas

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedpwp:102846&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 3, 2026 00:00

In a canonical model of policy formation, campaign contributions, and electoral competition, we show that, despite donor polarization, candidates’ agendas converge. If purely office-motivated candidates move away from the centrist agenda, they increase…

Airless democracy: Air pollution and voter turnout

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:unm:unumer:2026004&r=&r=cdm

Published: February 24, 2026 00:00

Air pollution is a major externality whose consequences extend beyond health and productivity. This paper shows that short-run pollution shocks also reduce democratic participation. We combine official, municipality-level election results from 32 national,…