RSS Parrot

Demography, Early Voting, and Election Integrity in South Korea: Evidence Across Four Electoral Cycles

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:5d94n_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 28, 2026 00:00

Allegations of fraud in South Korean elections have centered primarily on the in-precinct early-voting channel, which consistently produces higher democratic Party vote shares than same-day ballots. We assess these claims using a unified framework applied…

"What Kind of Bias Do I Want?" How Cross-Pressured Voters Select Political Media

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:6rxve_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 18, 2026 00:00

Media selection is an important form of political behavior that often shapes public opinion and voting. While most people select like-minded media, recent evidence suggests that media markets do not represent the growing populations of cross-pressured…

Why Cross-Pressured Voters Are Always Right: Media and Mediators

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:cyhsm_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 18, 2026 00:00

Cross-pressured voters (CPVs) are a large demographic that usually faces ideological trade-offs when voting. They are either economically leftist and culturally conservative ('left-conservatives') or economically rightist and culturally progressive…

Financial Markets and Mass Political Attitudes: Evidence from the 2022 Brazilian Election

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:8b5r6_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 17, 2026 00:00

How do financial markets affect mass attitudes toward candidates in democratic elections? We theorize that, especially in financially open countries in the Global South, voters respond to financial market assessments of candidates for national election. We…

The Pulpit and the Polls: The Electoral Impact of Religious Participation

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:ahky7_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 17, 2026 00:00

We estimate how exposure to religious services affects U.S. voting. Novel sermon corpora show a sharp spike in political content on the Sunday before presidential elections. Exploiting quasi-random rainfall during typical service hours before…

Polarized Contributions but Convergent Agendas

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:fip:fedpwp:102846&r=&r=cdm

Published: March 3, 2026 00:00

In a canonical model of policy formation, campaign contributions, and electoral competition, we show that, despite donor polarization, candidates’ agendas converge. If purely office-motivated candidates move away from the centrist agenda, they increase…

Airless democracy: Air pollution and voter turnout

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:unm:unumer:2026004&r=&r=cdm

Published: February 24, 2026 00:00

Air pollution is a major externality whose consequences extend beyond health and productivity. This paper shows that short-run pollution shocks also reduce democratic participation. We combine official, municipality-level election results from 32 national,…

Institutional Design For Environmental Acts

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:tse:wpaper:131356&r=&r=cdm

Published: January 30, 2026 00:00

This paper develops a model of niche lobbying in which interest groups endogenously specialize in the acquisition of distinct types of policy-relevant information. Contrary to the view that niche strategies are chosen to soften competition and secure…

Elected Neighbors and the Supply of Future Politicians

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:cte:werepe:49114&r=&r=cdm

Published: January 29, 2026 00:00

Recent research shows that municipal councilors direct resources and amenities toward the areas surrounding their own residences. This finding underscores the importance of residential diversification within councils, particularly in developing countries…

Strategic voting or confounding?

https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:socarx:vtbw7_v1&r=&r=cdm

Published: January 8, 2026 00:00

Survey research yields the surprising conclusion that voters strategically abandon small parties to a similar degree in first-past-the-post (FPTP) and proportional representation (PR) systems. If true, this challenges Duverger's classic theory that…