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Collective Decision-Making

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Posts: 8

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Logrolling affects the relative performance of alternative q-majority rules

Published: January 21, 2025 00:00

We consider a committee facing binary decisions on a number of proposals. If members vote sincerely and payoffs are symmetric in expectation, it can be shown that the simple majority rule is the best q-majority rule in an aggregate or expected payoff…

The "German Vote" and its consequences: (Un)reliable parties in multilateral bargaining under private information

Published: January 16, 2025 00:00

This paper theoretically investigates the strategic implications of varying reliability of bargaining partners under unanimous and non-unanimous voting. Three players (one proposer, two responders) bargain over the distribution of a pie. One responder has…

Decentralization in Autocraties

Published: January 16, 2025 00:00

In a model featuring two regions—one affluent and the other impoverished—the allocation of public spending is examined under an initially centralized and autocratic political process. In a stable autocracy, the decision to implement decentralization…

Canada’s “COVID-19 Referendum”: Voting in the Early Federal Election of 2021

Published: December 31, 2024 00:00

Canada’s 2021 federal election was called early, two years after its previous 2019 election, rather than four years. The Liberal government’s perceived opportunity was to turn minority rule into a majority, based on their ongoing COVID-19 pandemic response…

Why did the Thirteen Keys to the White House fail? An analysis of Government Structuralism and Political Anomalies

Published: November 21, 2024 00:00

Lichtman's Thirteen Keys Model has, after ten elections of success, succumbed to its first failure in Donald Trump's first victory in both the popular vote and electoral college measures. For his protection of the Keys, he has cited mass misinformation (as…

The Price of Exclusion: Coalition Formation in the Shadow of Rising Radical Right

Published: November 15, 2024 00:00

The increasing electoral success of populist radical-right parties poses a significant challenge to established political parties in Western democracies. While mainstream parties often maintain a policy of non-cooperation with these newcomers, such cordon…

Learning by Lobbying

Published: November 11, 2024 00:00

How do interest groups learn about and influence politicians over time? We develop a game-theoretic model where an interest group can lobby a politician while learning about their ideological alignment. Our analysis reveals a fundamental tradeoff: interest…

Adversarial economic preferences predict right-wing voting

Published: November 1, 2024 00:00

I analyze Dutch panel data that contains rich information on voting, political opinions, and personality traits. I show that "adversarial" preferences – competitiveness, negative reciprocity, distrust, and selfishness – are strong predictors of…