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A government of small change
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Published: February 4, 2025 08:55
Since the end of the
1970s, when a new party has taken power in the UK they have started
with a reasonably loud bang. Thatcher brought monetarism and
neoliberalism. With Blair/Brown came an independent Bank of England,
a national minimum wage, peace in…
Labour and Growth
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Published: January 28, 2025 09:03
Is this Labour
government right to make achieving growth so
central to its missions? Does making higher growth a central priority require Labour has a theory of
growth?
I think the answer
to the first question is yes and no! Wanting better economic…
Mediamacro melodrama
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Published: January 20, 2025 08:52
The UK macroeconomy
was one of the big stories of the previous two weeks, so you might think this blog
post should have covered it earlier. However my guess at the time was that
media coverage was a bit like a nervous flyer who, when the plane
hits a bit…
The battle of our age
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Published: January 14, 2025 10:29
In my
last post of 2024 I noted that the main political
battles in many countries would be between on the one hand socially
conservative right wing plutocratic populists and on the other centre
or centre/left parties tentatively moving away from…
Vibes for the economy and other things
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Published: January 7, 2025 09:15
As I and many others
noted
after Trump won, real median household income didn’t grow nearly as
much under Biden as it did during Trump’s first presidency. But
there is more to the story of why 45%
of voters said they had become worse off under Biden.
Paul…
After neoliberalism: dynamics of transformation
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Published: December 17, 2024 08:47
As this will be
the last blog until 2025, I thought I’d make it a bit more
substantive than usual. Normal service will be resumed in 2025.
I started writing
about how the UK and US under right wing leadership had become
a kind of plutocracy in 2017,…
The politics of stupid
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Published: December 10, 2024 09:00
I had a conversation
on social media recently that went a bit like this (and I’m
paraphrasing):
‘I want massive
reductions in immigration’
‘But how? Stopping
firms or the public sector’s hiring Labour, or collapsing a number
of universities? How much…
Investment in politics, like economics, involves risk and present sacrifice
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Published: December 3, 2024 08:53
Rachel Reeves is
absolutely right to make investment her watchword as Chancellor. So
many of our current problems come from lack of investment over the
last fourteen years, particularly
in areas like the NHS. While France and Spain have
dozens of high…
Should governments protect citizens from external shocks to living standards?
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Published: November 26, 2024 09:02
One of the themes in
post-US election analysis, including my
own, has been the shock to real income caused by
recent commodity prices increases (energy and food). The idea is less
engaged voters (low information voters) blame the
government rather than…
Freedom of Speech and Media Regulation
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Published: November 19, 2024 08:48
In two recent blog posts I returned to the issue of lack of media regulation, and the way
lack of regulation is helping right wing populism to grow. We saw it
with Trump, and we are seeing it with Reform and the rightward drift
of the Conservative party in…