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Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | @CSIS Fellow | @LowyInstitute | #BannedInRussia | #NAFO
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https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mnyaxuhxjc2e
Published: June 11, 2026 03:12
“The coordinated campaign has made it hard for Moscow to generate momentum, with its spring and summer offensives so far failing to achieve notable results.” A great Ukraine report by @MarcSantoraNYT, with short comments from me.…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mny5hg2lak24
Published: June 11, 2026 02:09
Ukraine has just struck a Russian defence plant with its new long-range FP-5 missiles and damaged a key bridge to Crimea. Things keep getting worse for Putin and Gerasimov. My Part 2 assessment of Russia's losing war and how Putin might reverse things.…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mnv2p3cvcs2a
Published: June 9, 2026 20:42
My latest discussion with the Frontline team at Times Radio about the war in Ukraine, and Putin’s losing strategy. https://youtu.be/ZRaBS0Mm21o?si=lueqv8XW07ao3XC3
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mnstrgreis22
Published: June 8, 2026 23:33
My new assessment, "Losing on Every Dimension." My thesis: Putin is losing not in one or two dimensions but in every one that honestly measures strategic progress: military, cognitive, moral, industrial, economic. Read it here:…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mnq3xxyxs22l
Published: June 7, 2026 21:21
“Senior officers in the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) may be doing too little to advance military development and war preparation.” Another brilliant analysis from @KTristanTang https://jamestown.org/signs-of-passivity-emerge-among-senior-officers/
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mno5edfiks2u
Published: June 7, 2026 02:41
A letter for Putin spurned. A strike exchange that grows heavier by the week. A drone campaign turning the road to Crimea into burning fuel trucks. And in the Pacific, Beijing fighting a narrative war with Japan. Read my latest weekly update here:…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mnfzk4hfrk2e
Published: June 3, 2026 21:11
“What we haven't seen is a large-scale effort, particularly in the ADF, to get people into Ukraine and undertake large-scale learning activities.” My conversation with Sam Roggeveen as we discuss my new report on learning from modern war. …
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mndmx2h2222r
Published: June 2, 2026 22:21
For those who are interested in my new report, you can listen to a conversation about it at the Lowy Institute podcast here:
https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/the-wests-systemic-failure-to-learn-from-modern-war/id191062366?i=1000770769526
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mndfb7sqh222
Published: June 2, 2026 20:03
Today, my new report on the systemic learning disorder in western military organisations - their inability to learn and adapt quickly from other people’s wars - is published by the Lowy Institute.
You can read the full report at the link below.…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mn6ivahuws2y
Published: May 31, 2026 21:25
“The 3rd Army Corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has officially declared that key towns and logistical routes across occupied Luhansk are now under the operational control of Ukrainian drones.” Ukraine’s mid-range strike campaign accelerates.…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mn4k7pf2322d
Published: May 31, 2026 02:43
My weekly update covers Ukraine's drone interdiction campaign, formalised as a "Logistical Lockdown" program. Combined with issues like Taiwan's new Littoral Combat Command and China's nuclear expansion revealed by Reuters, there is much to unpack.…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mmus6eh3mk2t
Published: May 28, 2026 00:44
New essay: our darker angels have returned. This essay written by Dr Frank Hoffman for Futura Doctrina examines the analytical failure behind the 'end of war' thesis & argues that prudent foresight, not optimistic extrapolation, is what security policy…
https://bsky.app/profile/warinthefuture.bsky.social/post/3mml477utws2t
Published: May 24, 2026 04:17
Russia has attacked Kyiv overnight with one of its Oreshnik missiles. Before this, Rubio talked about Ukraine peace talks, noting "We're not interested in endless meetings that lead to nothing." Meanwhile, Xi bathes in the afterglow of his Trump & Putin…