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🦜 @sethwalder.bsky.social - Seth Walder

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ESPN NFL Analyst. DMs open.

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Posts: 25

Followers: 1

Published: April 28, 2026 15:26

I asked 5 front office members about where these players were selected. Keylan Rutledge Jadarian Price De'Zhaun Stribling Nate Boerkircher Marlin Klein Caleb Douglas Were they: A. Not a reach. League liked them more than outside. B. Light reach C. True…

Published: April 24, 2026 00:58

At the time of pick No. 6, there was a 90% chance Mansoor Delane would make it to pick No. 9 according to the Draft Day Predictor. Even if you think that number is a little strong, that's the hidden cost of trade-ups: there's a substantial chance the…

Published: April 23, 2026 18:58

Small project: Spent some time over the last week seeing if I could create a wide receiver model that incorporated data from Telemetry sports that could better predict a player’s yards per route run in a player’s first four years than the draft itself.

Published: April 23, 2026 15:44

This is a year-old chart from Ben Baldwin on twitter, but sharing because it's such an important chart. It demonstrates the league does not sufficiently bake in positional value in the draft. If it did, those lines would all be roughly the same.

Published: April 23, 2026 14:54

I think lots of teams should try to do this every year. The market values this year > next year but there's no real reason to do so. If I'm say, Carolina, I'm calling the Saints and seeing what 2027 picks they want to offer for pick 19. [contains quote…

Published: April 22, 2026 20:19

If you're not trading down you're not trying. People say it takes two to tango when it comes to trades. And that's true. But one thing I've learned is just how frequent offers are. They're not always there in early round 1. But in round 2, my…

Published: April 21, 2026 16:50

At the bottom of the story I included a different project: I wanted to explore if play speed metrics (from Telemetry Sports) in conjunction with 40 times could help predict NFL WR speed better than 40 times alone. [contains quote post or other embedded…

Published: April 21, 2026 14:59

How likely is Ty Simpson to reach the second round? How far does Dallas have to trade up to land Sonny Styles or Caleb Downs? Which receivers could be on the board for Philadelphia at 23? We turned to the Draft Day Predictor for (probabilistic) answers. …

Published: April 20, 2026 13:12

I'm curious the details with guarantees on Dexter Lawrence's extension. Because simply adding a third year at $28 million, if it didn't any guarantees, would be a straight up worse contract (for him) than the one he was on. So I have to assume something…