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Current: NBA Data Science @ Penn Interactive. Author: “The Midrange Theory” Prev: Director of Basketball Research @ Milwaukee Bucks. Dir. N. American Sports @ StatsBomb. NBA Analysis @ The Athletic

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Posts: 389

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Published: May 8, 2025 01:55

This a good point. Everyone always asked why those Thunder teams didn’t do anything more creative with KD than run him off wide pin downs. Everyone blamed Scotty Brooks, but I think subsequent history suggests that it’s another example of stars gonna do…

Published: May 7, 2025 01:53

Hali rides the line between heel heat and go away heat, but so far this postseason it’s all heel. It’s glorious, the NBA needs a villain, at least it needs one that’s a villain for reasons other than kicking and choking opponents.

Published: May 6, 2025 22:14

I was a teen in the 90s and literally all of those things were discussed EXTENSIVELY in the context of consent. I do remember Newsweek doing a cover story on Antioch College requiring frequent verbal consent& the associated freakout. Article itself mostly…

Published: May 6, 2025 21:58

Sure, explore Sengun more as the guy. Just understand that he’s likely not, which is ok, most aren’t. But where fans and especially teams get in trouble is substituting the hope that he can be for the rational expectation that he won’t turn out that way. …

Published: May 6, 2025 19:20

It’s a great question and one which I have not studied in any detail, though there was a period where a lot of bigs without much pre NBA track record of outside shooting showed development as shooters early in their careers, which is a similar sort of…

Published: May 6, 2025 18:11

I don’t even think it’s a question of practice because if all it took was practice, every player in the NBA (barring a few defensive monster C’s) would be able to shoot. FT% is a key indicator here because that’s probably our best measure of pure shooting…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:59

How would you feel if I told you that while he was slightly above average as a rim finisher against bottom 10 defenses (71%, 63rd percentile), he was woeful (60%, 18th percentile) against top 10’defenses this year? (League average was 67.6% against…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:52

Data analysis is not objective because data itself is not objective. We have data as a result of choices made in terms of what data to collect and how to do it. Those choices are often well-founded and informed, but they’re still choices. [contains quote…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:38

Find me centers who consistently finish at 70+ percent at the rim with a league average or below dunk rate. The closest this year - had the finishing but slightly above AVG dunk rates - were Lopez, Myles Turner and Al Horford whose dunk rates are…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:32

And Sheed’s formative years as a young player were in an era before shooting was close to as important so some of his improvement was likely “oh this is something I should work on?” Which is not something that would occur for players coming up in the late…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:27

Lopez is much bigger, was a much better FT shooter (about 79% career before he started shooting 3s) and had generally solid-to-good rim protection numbers in his pre milwaukee seasons for which we have data (ask me how I know!) This was Sengun’s first…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:19

Horford has never been a big FTA guy so him having a couple of lower percentage seasons was somewhat likely. In the 8 seasons before he started shooting 3s he was a combined 74% from the line, which is both 4 points higher than Sengun’s career mark and…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:15

Which non shooting centers for the Celtics? Surely you’re not comparing him to Luke Kornet. And surely you’re not saying he can become a defensive player on the level of Draymond Green or Kevon Looney (himself an EXCELLENT defender though he has declined…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:12

As I continue to say, the NBA.com labels aren’t quite right. Only those listed as “wide open” should be considered uncontested. 3s with 6+ feet (wide open on dot com) went in 38.6% this season. 4-6 feet of space (“open” on dot com) went in 34.6%. Those two…

Published: May 6, 2025 17:06

The specific ways he would have to improve would be highly unusual. It would be borderline unprecedented for him to become even an average 3-point shooter for example. Most of the players, especially C’s, who did become decent shooters were already good FT…

Published: May 6, 2025 14:20

Fouling up 3 is good if you can use it to effectively run out the clock without the opponent getting a chance to tie, which is why the timeout situation matters. But leaving them more than about 5 seconds on the clock adds a possession rather than running…

Published: May 6, 2025 14:16

Confession that I fell asleep during the 4th Q with OKC up 10. Watching back this morning and VERY surprised by OKC’s late game choices to foul so quickly up 3. Twice! Denver being out of timeouts makes it less bad, but wayyyyy too much time left on the…

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