🦜 @gregsargent.bsky.social on Bluesky
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Politics, politics, politics
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo4jywqw622b
Published: June 12, 2026 20:04
Good @timmiller.bsky.social list of Dems to watch who are putting tough red-leaning districts in play.
Notably at least three (OH-7, PA-8, NC-11) are on the list of districts that Ds are polling in/finding serious anti-Trump sentiment (see my piece/thread…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo4h6ymp522u
Published: June 12, 2026 19:14
Gotta say this @stevebenen.com guy has a freakishly good memory
https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/born-a-very-special-baby-republican-rhetoric-on-trump-becomes-even-more-cultish
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo4ce5rlhk2k
Published: June 12, 2026 17:48
"Like Talarico, some prospective Dem presidential candidates are signaling they intend to run campaigns based on messages of curing the moral rot that Trumpism has wrought upon the nation."
@davidrlurie.com over at @atrupar.com's joint:…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo46msffks24
Published: June 12, 2026 16:41
Please let me know if you see any right wing populists expressing any concern about Elon Musk becoming a trillionaire.
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo45iwyj522s
Published: June 12, 2026 16:21
Striking new batch of ratings changes in House races from Inside Elections. The shifting of PA-8 and WI-3 toward Dems is a very good sign:
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo3xswd37s2j
Published: June 12, 2026 14:39
John Cornyn, debasing himself right up until the very end
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo3tk7yrkk26
Published: June 12, 2026 13:23
Good @paulwaldman.bsky.social point on why Dems are able to expand the map into red areas:
"Farmers have been absolutely hammered by Trump’s policy decisions...farm economy is broad and involves many people [so] races in places like Iowa are much…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo3nff447s2z
Published: June 12, 2026 11:32
Trump is a whopping 50 points underwater on inflation in many polls, per new CNN analysis. No other president has come close. Another poll finds Dems +15 among indys in battle for House.
On the pod, @creynoldsnc.bsky.social is great on how Dems are…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo2ettqxuk2z
Published: June 11, 2026 23:27
Sleeper factor this fall:
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo2c3cyfxk2v
Published: June 11, 2026 22:37
Absolutely true. A lot of pieces are falling into place for a larger-than-expected rout. Is that guaranteed? Of course not. But the ingredients do appear to be coming together.
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mo23jlyclc2e
Published: June 11, 2026 20:40
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzwj352tk2b
Published: June 11, 2026 19:10
100%
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzvnvv3j22j
Published: June 11, 2026 18:55
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzsvbrfuk2p
Published: June 11, 2026 18:06
On the pod, @atabatabai.bsky.social and I discuss Energy Sec Chris Wright's meltdown on the Hill. Trump cabinet members don't see it as their job to tell the truth to Congress or the American people. They only see their job as managing his pathologies.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzmjvgiu222
Published: June 11, 2026 16:12
As I keep arguing, the situation is quite literally that Trump won't accept any outcome with Iran that doesn't result in the people on his teevee telling him he's more powerful and got a better deal than Obama. The US and the world is hostage to this…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzlgb4ys225
Published: June 11, 2026 15:52
I really think people aren't focused on how hard it's going to be for JD Vance (or Marco Rubio?) to defend Trump's Medicaid cuts when they really start hitting in the next cycle.
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzkku5vb22z
Published: June 11, 2026 15:37
With Elon Musk stoking fascist violence all over the world, it's a damn good time to be reading @quinnslobodian.com and @bentarnoff.com on Muskism. Explains a lot about the deeper toxicity of his worldview and grand plans…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzj3dwmek22
Published: June 11, 2026 15:10
New Emerson poll has Dems +10 in the generic House ballot matchup. That's consistent with the findings I report on here: Majorities of working class voters blaming Trump/GOP for their economic struggles in red-leaning House districts.
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzezd6nwc2p
Published: June 11, 2026 13:57
In Iowa, 58 percent of these targeted working class voters see the economy worsening and blame Trump for it.
In Michigan, 63 percent of these voters blame Trump.
In North Carolina, 51 percent of these voters blame Trump.
In Pennsylvania, 54 percent of…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnze2obkqs25
Published: June 11, 2026 13:40
This is an interesting experiment in trying to reach/persuade some of these hard-to-reach constituencies for Dems, and you should pay attention to it
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnzcthrpac25
Published: June 11, 2026 13:18
My new piece -->
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnz4ramk222a
Published: June 11, 2026 11:30
Important: New internal polling by Dems finds majorities of working class in some pretty red House districts blame Trump/GOP for their economic struggles. This is why Dems are contesting tough seats. Good to see they're expanding the map.
Details in my…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnz35p4m422a
Published: June 11, 2026 11:01
"AOC holds many of the positions as Graham Platner. She worked as a bartender between her graduation from Boston University and her run for House. Yet is there any reason to think she could survive a single Platner scandal?"
Interesting…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnxtk2mr522w
Published: June 10, 2026 23:12
his brain is leaking out of his ears on live national television
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnxjr5oyvk2g
Published: June 10, 2026 20:17
On the other hand, the NYT homepage is very prominently informing us of how rich Elon Musk and his most loyal sycophants are about to get, so it's all good
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnxjgco7f226
Published: June 10, 2026 20:11
Still not on either the NYT or WaPo homepages:
Trump: "I love inflation"
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnxgrw2mms2a
Published: June 10, 2026 19:24
"I will take a bad senator from a broadly liberal party over a 'moderate' senator from a fascist party 100 percent of the time I’m confronted with the choice."
Balanced @brianbeutler.bsky.social look at the Platner imbroglio:…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnxbedcl722k
Published: June 10, 2026 17:46
Perhaps this helps explain why fewer than 1 in 4 Americans (!!) approve of Trump's handling of inflation
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnwwddcyes2n
Published: June 10, 2026 14:29
nobody tell elon that this "way" has absolutely destroyed trump's public standing on what was once his strongest issue
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnwqlhnmfk2o
Published: June 10, 2026 12:46
Indeed, some of the county prosecutors that are refusing to enforce Spanberger's new assault weapons ban are effectively arguing that the sovereignty of the people *within* the borders of these red counties can't be overridden by the state legislature!
…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnwoqp7qwc2o
Published: June 10, 2026 12:13
Really glad that @larryglickman.bsky.social made this point about my thesis on the "de-South-ification" of Virginia (and, possibly, North Carolina and Georgia, too). I submit that we are seeing a real countervailing trend in some places against the…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnwmw6rk4c2g
Published: June 10, 2026 11:41
Trump cratering continues: Reuters has approval at 35%. YouGov puts him in 20s on economy/inflation. And a new analysis finds him deeply underwater in many red states with big Senate races.
On the pod we dig into the booing of Trump and the public's turn…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnvayawcos2l
Published: June 9, 2026 22:34
this stinks to high heaven
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnurn35fsk23
Published: June 9, 2026 18:00
I said nothing of the sort. I'm just introducing another idea here to keep in mind. If you don't think we should be aware of how NYT tries to bait us, say so.
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnuqx4bsec2q
Published: June 9, 2026 17:47
NYT opinion editors publish these types of things *because* progs will tweet angrily about it, which they interpret as, "this writer gets the right people angry, this writer is provocative, this writer gets talked about." Angry tweets only confirm/reward…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnui2nr3ws25
Published: June 9, 2026 15:08
"At one point, it was as if I could hear the booing all the way from over here in Ohio."
This is more than just a good burn. Americans across the country will watch video of Trump getting booed and it will resonate as emblematic of a disastrously failed…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnu3a77jmk2j
Published: June 9, 2026 11:19
The real reason Trump stormed off NBC is that he's in a fury that MAGA can't magically make Spencer Pratt win with X and Tik Tok.
"It turns out virality is not the same as votes," says @gilduran.com.
On the pod, we dig into the bursting of MAGA's online…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnu2gpwzlk2a
Published: June 9, 2026 11:05
"In scale and audacity, what Kushner has attempted—and achieved—is on another level...He asked foreign regimes to trust him with billions...Trump placed Kushner—who had zero diplomatic/foreign affairs expertise until [Trump] rose to power—at the center of…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnsfcesfuk2k
Published: June 8, 2026 19:14
Yes. This is the conclusion we reach in this discussion. The basic point we make is that there is a diversity and robustness to American culture that Trump/MAGA cannot steamroll.
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnsenlbeyc2e
Published: June 8, 2026 19:02
The real story with Trump's 250 gala fiasco is his/MAGA's growing toxicity in the culture. Trump had a chance in Nov 2024 to win the culture. But he and MAGA pissed it away because they wanted race war instead.
On the pod, @alexshephard.bsky.social is…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnscotcqkc23
Published: June 8, 2026 18:27
Does anyone have contact info for @noupside.bsky.social ? Please DM me
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnsaelthc22n
Published: June 8, 2026 17:45
Yep. NC and GA behind VA in this process but overall story is same: We're seeing ongoing diversification and urbanization, and that's nudging these states in a Dem direction. Trump scrambled things temporarily, and we're not allowed to say this, but…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mns6kvtog22c
Published: June 8, 2026 17:13
"de-South-ification"!
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mns5xdk6c227
Published: June 8, 2026 17:02
Indeed. No national news outlets have reported on this yet:
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnrzlebzhc2c
Published: June 8, 2026 15:44
And 3 Sheriffs have joined as well. Very likely to keep growing:
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https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnrv5nethc2a
Published: June 8, 2026 14:25
The great @larrysabato.bsky.social has said that Virginia has in effect become "a mid-Atlantic state."
As I argue here, the passage of the first assault weapons ban by a southern state, combined with the resistance to it among county prosecutors in MAGA…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnrkpuzukk2w
Published: June 8, 2026 11:18
This is bad. At least 9 county prosecutors in pro-Trump areas of Virginia have now openly declared that they won't enforce the assault weapons ban that the Dem state legislature recently passed.
It's a MAGA nullification movement.
New piece from me:…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnmzlefhnk26
Published: June 6, 2026 16:01
As we discuss in this episode, this is quite literally precisely the dilemma. We are all hostage to Trump's insistence that the only acceptable conclusion to his war is one that leads the people on his TV to say that his Iran deal bested Obama's.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnmuo35zes24
Published: June 6, 2026 14:33
"Kill the filibuster...then pass big things. Pass that anti-corruption agenda. Let Trump veto it. Then spend weeks bashing him for his veto...Make Trump veto, veto, veto. Make him the face of the corrupt status quo."
From @ericschmeltzer.bsky.social on…
https://bsky.app/profile/gregsargent.bsky.social/post/3mnmpvrv6ys26
Published: June 6, 2026 13:08
"National polls show Democrats making enormous gains among Hispanic voters..."
Gosh, nobody could have predicted that Trump's gains with nonwhites would prove temporary and highly contingent, and didn't actually reflect a deep, seismic cultural shift…