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"'A man without a plan is not a man.' Nietzsche." Professor in the Department of Government and SFS @ Georgetown. I study international order, power politics, & empires. dhnexon.net | https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com | duckofminerva.com |

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Posts: 27

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Published: March 2, 2026 02:49

Hanania's degree is actually in International Relations — when he was an anonymous racist posting on message boards and far-right sites, he was also doing bog-standard academic work. So he knows of course that there is no such thing as a theory called…

Published: March 1, 2026 15:36

I'm having unpleasant memories of trying to explain to nominal leftists in 2016 that what Trump was going to do to U.S. rules of engagement would kill a lot more civilians. [contains quote post or other embedded content]

Published: March 1, 2026 15:20

"The U.S. races to destroy Iran’s missile and drone force before it runs out of interceptors to fend off Tehran’s retaliation.... The U.S. is also expending sea-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles, widely known as TLAMs, and aircraft-launched weapons against…

Published: February 28, 2026 14:40

I was just rereading Guzzini's fantastic piece on "securitization" as a mechanism rather than a particularly good theory of how securitization happen, and this is a good illustration of why he's right. But Stefano is pretty much always right. [contains…

Published: February 28, 2026 14:14

As always, good thread from @profsaunders.bsky.social. @cooleyoneurasia.bsky.social talk about how Trump admin hollowed out these processes, why it did so, and what some of the costs are in our recent @foreignaffairs.com article. Spoiler: a combo of…

Published: February 28, 2026 14:08

@monacharen.bsky.social was kind enough to invite @cooleyoneurasia.bsky.social and me onto her podcast. She argued Trump likely wants 'his place in history' as the U.S. president who finally brought down the Iranian government. I think that, plus his…

Published: February 28, 2026 04:01

Serious question: what does it mean to give grok access to classified systems? Does that mean localized instances on SIPRNET and JWICS with the ability to search each systems' databases? Does it mean a tunnel to external servers? In other words, how the…

Published: February 28, 2026 01:04

The notion that we could “indoctrinate” military officers in 1.5 years of coursework is grimly hilarious. I really hope they don’t yank funding from students already in these programs, but I suspect that without pushback he definitely will.…

Published: February 26, 2026 21:03

It seems to me that one could imitate the right-wing media outrage-addiction spiral on the left by focusing on elite malfeasance and other outrages. You wouldn’t even need to make it ideology-forward. Make “rich people crime” a feature. Which is why you…

Published: February 26, 2026 20:07

Yes we're talking about "activists" but remind me again why we shouldn't worry about midterm-election fuckery from the same president who didn't do all the things only because his advisors sabotaged his efforts, and still managed to bring us January 6th.…

Published: February 26, 2026 15:49

If I'm reading the "AI will nuke us all" paper correctly, the prompts contain no discussion of tradeoffs related to the escalation options, e.g., specifications of consequences of conventional war, nuclear strikes, &c. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740

Published: February 24, 2026 15:12

🧵 This gets at a pet peeve of mine: the term “literature review” itself. The main reasons we discuss “the literature” are: 1) to establish a puzzle or controversy, 2) relatedly, lay out alternative explanations or interpretations, and 3) create…

Published: February 21, 2026 14:32

"We looked at kids using cannabis before they had any evidence of these psychiatric conditions and then followed them to understand if they were more likely or less likely to develop them..." I mean, maybe? [contains quote post or other embedded content]