🦜 @dhnexon.bsky.social on Bluesky
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"'A man without a plan is not a man.' Nietzsche."
Professor in the Department of Government and SFS @ Georgetown.
I study international order, power politics, & empires.
dhnexon.net | https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com | duckofminerva.com |
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mg2akkxjg22h
Published: March 2, 2026 02:49
Hanania's degree is actually in International Relations — when he was an anonymous racist posting on message boards and far-right sites, he was also doing bog-standard academic work. So he knows of course that there is no such thing as a theory called…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mg2a6jlblc2h
Published: March 2, 2026 02:42
Even if Platner doesn't win the nomination, he's basically sucked all of the oxygen away from anyone who could run as genuine progressive or left-of-center "fighter."
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mg27sjsqzc2h
Published: March 2, 2026 02:35
I would remiss if I did not adequately amplify @cherylrofer.bsky.social's concise, clear, and unassailable summary of why one of the Trump administration's main rationales for its illegal war is bullshit.…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfz2ynxuok2w
Published: March 1, 2026 15:36
I'm having unpleasant memories of trying to explain to nominal leftists in 2016 that what Trump was going to do to U.S. rules of engagement would kill a lot more civilians.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfz23vmp6k2w
Published: March 1, 2026 15:20
"The U.S. races to destroy Iran’s missile and drone force before it runs out of interceptors to fend off Tehran’s retaliation.... The U.S. is also expending sea-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles, widely known as TLAMs, and aircraft-launched weapons against…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfxlr32v2s2l
Published: March 1, 2026 01:31
In fairness the OSINT posted here made clear the strike was imminent.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwhhc3cos25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:41
FYSA, the *mechanism* of securitization helps make sense of most of the shit that's going down in the United States right now.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwhe6zuss25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:40
I was just rereading Guzzini's fantastic piece on "securitization" as a mechanism rather than a particularly good theory of how securitization happen, and this is a good illustration of why he's right. But Stefano is pretty much always right.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwghg2ukc25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:23
This is your morning coffee of stupid. You're welcome?
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwfx4rbys25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:14
As always, good thread from @profsaunders.bsky.social. @cooleyoneurasia.bsky.social talk about how Trump admin hollowed out these processes, why it did so, and what some of the costs are in our recent @foreignaffairs.com article.
Spoiler: a combo of…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwfmlv55s25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:08
@monacharen.bsky.social was kind enough to invite @cooleyoneurasia.bsky.social and me onto her podcast.
She argued Trump likely wants 'his place in history' as the U.S. president who finally brought down the Iranian government.
I think that, plus his…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwf74dsps25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:01
At least we waited until after the regime massacred tens of thousands of protestors.
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfwf4ngj5k25
Published: February 28, 2026 14:00
"No new wars" really just meant "f*ck Ukraine" and everyone knew it.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfvdoyqeic27
Published: February 28, 2026 04:01
Serious question: what does it mean to give grok access to classified systems? Does that mean localized instances on SIPRNET and JWICS with the ability to search each systems' databases? Does it mean a tunnel to external servers? In other words, how the…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfvcygyi4s2l
Published: February 28, 2026 03:49
It’s not imperialism unless its from the United States, otherwise its just sparkling conquest.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfuzubjats2l
Published: February 28, 2026 01:05
Cackle. We will indoctrinate you into multivariate regression. Bahahaha
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfuzsfowzs2l
Published: February 28, 2026 01:04
The notion that we could “indoctrinate” military officers in 1.5 years of coursework is grimly hilarious.
I really hope they don’t yank funding from students already in these programs, but I suspect that without pushback he definitely will.…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfsfku7ykc27
Published: February 26, 2026 23:57
I'm sure that differential regulatory treatment by the Trump administration has nothing to do with this decision.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfs3uh6zp22z
Published: February 26, 2026 21:03
It seems to me that one could imitate the right-wing media outrage-addiction spiral on the left by focusing on elite malfeasance and other outrages. You wouldn’t even need to make it ideology-forward. Make “rich people crime” a feature. Which is why you…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfrypwjpic25
Published: February 26, 2026 20:07
Yes we're talking about "activists" but remind me again why we shouldn't worry about midterm-election fuckery from the same president who didn't do all the things only because his advisors sabotaged his efforts, and still managed to bring us January 6th.…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfrkbtblzk2g
Published: February 26, 2026 15:49
If I'm reading the "AI will nuke us all" paper correctly, the prompts contain no discussion of tradeoffs related to the escalation options, e.g., specifications of consequences of conventional war, nuclear strikes, &c.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfmhbnndrk2n
Published: February 24, 2026 15:12
🧵 This gets at a pet peeve of mine: the term “literature review” itself.
The main reasons we discuss “the literature” are: 1) to establish a puzzle or controversy, 2) relatedly, lay out alternative explanations or interpretations, and 3) create…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfhkg5dir225
Published: February 22, 2026 16:24
Another day, another instance of petty authoritarianism. Thanks, GOP Reps and Senators, for refusing to do your constitutionally-mandated jobs. Thanks, John Roberts, for your unitary-executive gibberish.…
https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mffhmr5odc2d
Published: February 21, 2026 20:29
If you don’t follow @proftalmadge.bsky.social then now is the time to change that.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfetodmbs222
Published: February 21, 2026 14:32
"We looked at kids using cannabis before they had any evidence of these psychiatric conditions and then followed them to understand if they were more likely or less likely to develop them..."
I mean, maybe?
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfetk6n3rk22
Published: February 21, 2026 14:30
It's really hard to understate how much casual damage these morons are doing to U.S. power and capabilities.
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https://bsky.app/profile/dhnexon.bsky.social/post/3mfet6f7w2c22
Published: February 21, 2026 14:23
I love the idea, quoted in the article, that it is difficult to square Kagan's opinions with her earlier votes. No. Not it is not.
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