🦜 @brendannyhan.bsky.social on Bluesky
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Dartmouth political scientist and Bright Line Watch co-director. Previously Upshot NYT / CJR contributor, Spinsanity co-founder, All the President's Spin co-author.
https://sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/
http://brightlinewatch.org
Your feed and you don't want it here? Just
e-mail the birb.
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3jfyexzdq2m
Published: September 6, 2024 22:32
What democracy-centric coverage looks like - WITF on Trump's Hannity "town hall" in Harrisburg, PA https://www.witf.org/2024/09/06/donald-trump-appeals-to-base-using-anti-immigrant-messaging-in-harrisburg-visit/ (disclosure: I'm quoted)
Compare with this,…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3j7u5cou62d
Published: September 6, 2024 20:43
No matter how abhorrent Musk is, former Cabinet members shouldn't be calling for his arrest for publishing false information. Full stop.…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3j3nzwm422l
Published: September 6, 2024 19:28
Patriot Polling, what???
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3ipd73oen23
Published: September 6, 2024 15:47
Suggest retitling like an academic volume:
The Supreme Court: Guardian of the Constitution?
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3inu744xe2p
Published: September 6, 2024 15:20
Inside baseball questions about process like these are precisely what regular people don't care about
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3in4g6ipn2u
Published: September 6, 2024 15:07
"once you discard all epistemological and moral guardrails, it’s easy to descend into barbarous nonsense."
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3imksgfhw2l
Published: September 6, 2024 14:57
Can Pollution Markets Work in Developing Countries? Experimental Evidence from India
https://bpb-us-w2.wpmucdn.com/campuspress.yale.edu/dist/7/2986/files/2024/07/ets_paper-25.pdf
"The pollution market therefore has mortality benefits that exceed costs by…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3h6trme6u2m
Published: September 6, 2024 01:19
Strongly endorse.
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3h5lcevc52c
Published: September 6, 2024 00:57
This is some crazy Mad Libs policy nonsense
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3gkyeckdx2p
Published: September 5, 2024 19:24
At what point are people going to stop gossiping about their high-profile employers with online dates? This is the entire P****** V****** playbook
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/41134789/commanders-fire-vp-comments-players-jones-goodell
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3gjrsvbfz2s
Published: September 5, 2024 19:02
Really nice framework and timeline here
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3gfk4oabs2a
Published: September 5, 2024 17:46
Article cartoon abstract (via DALL-E)
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3g5jy66ml27
Published: September 5, 2024 15:23
Ungated link https://sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/files/2024/07/general-correction-effects.pdf
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3g4sgqxef2k
Published: September 5, 2024 15:10
New 🚨 The Narrow Reach of Targeted Corrections: No Impact on Broader Beliefs About Election Integrity 🚨 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-024-09968-0
The dangers of fact-check Whac-A-Mole: debunking false claims about the 2022 AZ election…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3fzzeb6wu2a
Published: September 5, 2024 14:20
The election denial machinery is cranking up again but focused on non-citizen voting (vanishingly rare) - total nonsense and very dangerous to democracy https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/05/us/politics/immigrant-noncitizen-voting-republicans.html
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3fzklph4a2l
Published: September 5, 2024 14:12
People in the media who amplify the pseudo-scientific nonsense of "13 keys" should feel shame.
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3dwyc746h2l
Published: September 4, 2024 18:21
Please contribute your ideas if you haven't had a chance yet - thanks! Quick and easy.
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3dnni5e2d2x
Published: September 4, 2024 15:33
Easy to say now, but back in 1999, just 31% of Democrats said honesty is the most important quality in a president (vs. favoring good policies or having strong qualities of leadership) versus 46% among Republicans.
Partisanship is a hell of a drug.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3dgnqo3ao2x
Published: September 4, 2024 13:28
Most people aren't in online echo chambers.
Evidence of social media harms is far less conclusive than people think.
Algorithms aren't the primary reason people see potentially harmful content online.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07417-w
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3dexzvv252r
Published: September 4, 2024 12:58
Carlson and Musk continue to speedrun the red-pill trajectory to full white supremacism
Tucker Carlson Starstruck By Historian Who Calls Churchill, Not Hitler, the ‘Chief Villain’ of WW2 and Casts Holocaust as Accident…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3c6xmdyxt2d
Published: September 4, 2024 01:38
Wait! This isn't the real grifting!
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3c6h2u4t72m
Published: September 4, 2024 01:29
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3c4lyplxb2f
Published: September 4, 2024 00:56
Kids: Study statistics and social science
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3c4jzwsx32x
Published: September 4, 2024 00:55
The idea that Grimmer, Knox & Westwood "can't model" is hilarious. And Silver's "model" is a black box. Who knows what's going on in there? How can we evaluate it?
At same time, "we don't have a well-calibrated model of who wins" != there is no info in…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3bfefonjn2l
Published: September 3, 2024 18:00
"Gish Gallop given human form, a DDOS attack wearing a skin suit" is incredible
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3av2st4km22
Published: September 3, 2024 13:08
For folks going to APSA - friends don't let friends use the horrible default panel format. Divide the time equally and open the floor discussion *after each talk*. Works SO much better as long as the chair enforces time limits. cyrussamii.com?p=1806
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3as4whmaw2c
Published: September 3, 2024 12:16
Lecture 1: Cheap talk
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3as2ykgz72f
Published: September 3, 2024 12:15
Media: It should be standard practice to check the party affiliation claims made by activists in interviews when possible
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3arvnxmru23
Published: September 3, 2024 12:12
Deft - a model for how to acknowledge asymmetry while covering misinformation among Democrats: "America’s right flank remains the chief purveyor of misinformation, but this summer’s political tumult created ideal conditions for falsehoods to spread among…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36ze53jor2l
Published: September 2, 2024 19:20
Me to NPR last week: "One thing AI, in particular, is good at doing is taking ideas or claims being made in text and turning them into metaphorical representations.... It's chum for the folks who....tend to have slanted information diets." …
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36s74hjwz23
Published: September 2, 2024 17:12
"Tying federal transportation spending to building activity may be the best way to induce change" in housing supply - need strong incentives from higher levels of government that are targeted at outcomes (units built), not processes or rules that can be…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36ry6ssvf2g
Published: September 2, 2024 17:08
Friends don't let friends count up significance findings
https://matthewbjane.com/blog-posts/blog-post-6.html
https://matthewbjane.com/blog-posts/blog-post-7.html
Cochrane: "Synthesis methods that involve vote counting based on statistical significance…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36nno2ghc2z
Published: September 2, 2024 15:50
"You're gonna be the [party] that saves me [$ on my Oasis tickets]"
(Politics is the best.)
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36m2cdxx426
Published: September 2, 2024 15:21
Beware the temptation to downplay the authoritarian threat. Could be launching another attempted coup in 65 days. Could be president again in 140 days.
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36lls5qvy2g
Published: September 2, 2024 15:13
Liberals for the last four decades: It is an absurd oversimplification to say the media are trying to help Democrats get elected.
Liberals now (at least here): The NYT and WP are trying to get Donald Trump elected! Unsubscribe!
Plenty of flawed…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l36lf7wsyz2e
Published: September 2, 2024 15:10
Sexism, authoritarianism, BS social science, and more!
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https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l34vdcs4vc2c
Published: September 1, 2024 23:02
Liberals: I disdain the way conservatives reflexively oppose Trump's enemies.
Also liberals: Yeah! Get Musk!
This is not defensible:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/31/world/americas/brazil-x-ban-free-speech.html
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l34klriyik2y
Published: September 1, 2024 19:50
Open racism. Could be president again in 141 days.
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l32hsuwfpl2w
Published: August 31, 2024 23:55
"up to 1/3 of Americans believe accusations of satanic cult abuse, government sex trafficking, and an 'agenda' to 'groom' children into gay or trans lifestyles" - correlated w/favorable views of Trump/Putin, acceptance of political violence, dark triad…
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l3257aldot2g
Published: August 31, 2024 20:45
Of all of Trump's transgressions against veterans, it's striking that Arlington is the one has become a damaging multi-day story. Key difference: he didn't do it in public, creating opportunities for second- and third-day stories.
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l2zmqkotgb2c
Published: August 31, 2024 15:51
Dumb s*** still hurts your support on the margin; it's just that the effects are muted by negative polarization
https://bsky.app/profile/brendannyhan.bsky.social/post/3l2zlphx6hd23
Published: August 31, 2024 15:32
How does Brazil feel about Alf? (aka Eteimoso)