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I do Miami things: study hurricanes🌀, grow orchids 🌸, and complain about the humidity 🥵. Husband and dog dad. 🏳️‍🌈 https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/

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Site URL: bsky.app/profile/bmcnoldy.bsky.social

Feed URL: bsky.app/profile/did:plc:pww7y3jqm3lc5ugvqdbhnzej/rss

Posts: 16

Followers: 1

Published: September 5, 2024 12:17

7 years ago today, on the morning of September 5, #Irma intensified to a Category 5 hurricane for the first time. It maintained that status for an incredible 78 hours of terror. A collection of satellite & radar loops:…

Published: September 5, 2024 11:57

With August's SST data, we now have the next Oceanic Niño Index value, which is just a hair above zero (i.e. still ENSO-neutral). The ONI is defined by a 3-month SST anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region in the equatorial Pacific Ocean.…

Published: September 5, 2024 11:50

The monthly SST data are in for August (NOAA's ERSSTv5), and over the tropical Atlantic, the average SST is still keeping pace with the record-shattering 2023 values. I also highlight the SST in mega-hurricane seasons 2005 and 1933 for reference.…

Published: September 5, 2024 10:07

On Wednesday, #Miami just had its 14th day this year that met the county's heat advisory criteria of a 105F+ heat index for 2+ hours. Combining the heat and humidity, 2024 is shaping up to be the 2nd-muggiest year on record, though well behind crazy 2023. …

Published: September 4, 2024 13:58

This is pretty amazing: the ocean heat content averaged over the Gulf of Mexico is obliterating previous all-time record highs. It's 126% of average for the date. 🌊 bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/ohc/ @miamirosenstiel.bsky.social

Published: September 4, 2024 12:27

A big shout-out to Phil Klotzbach and the rest of the team at CSU-Atmos for compiling this analysis and discussion. Many of us have been digging into this question and putting out scattered thoughts, but I like this summary and will direct people to it.…

Published: September 3, 2024 17:53

I finally got around to trying out a "Starter Pack" to gather the hurricane research & forecasting folks who are already on Bluesky, and entice others to join! If you want to be in the list, just let me know and I can add you (I know the list is…

Published: September 3, 2024 13:09

Here's another update to this chart as of Sep 3. Climatologically, only 35% of the season's ACE has occurred by now. The 2024 hurricane season's dot will fall somewhere in the orange oval (left side if nothing else forms, right side if the rest of the…

Published: August 31, 2024 14:43

The year-to-date rainfall at my house in northeast Miami-Dade County is at 44.10", compared to the 12-year average of 43.67". A relatively dry August brought the monthly average down below 7". The only months with a 7"+ average now are June, July, and…