🦜 @aschatz.bsky.social - Aaron Schatz
@bsky.app.profile.aschatz.bsky.social@rss-parrot.net
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Chief Analytics Officer, FTN Fantasy. ESPN+ writer. Former radio DJ. Founder of Football Outsiders, creator of DVOA, All-Pro/MVP voter.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldqrtfjm5k2z
Published: December 20, 2024 16:14
Did you miss our Pro Bowl ballot on Wednesday and Thursday? Here's the Thursday article on defense and special teams from @brykno.bsky.social ($$)
https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/our-2024-pro-bowl-ballot-defense
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldqrgdkgc22z
Published: December 20, 2024 16:07
Writing for ESPN+ about team weaknesses. To my Seattle peeps out there, I'm looking for thoughts about why Geno Smith may struggle so badly in the red zone. It's been three years of this now!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpgxktei22z
Published: December 20, 2024 03:27
Update: I missed that they changed this for 2024. So yeah, not legal.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpgu7hsy22z
Published: December 20, 2024 03:25
I thought the horse collar tackle was legal when the quarterback was in the pocket? Is the argument that he's out of the pocket?
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpeicgox22i
Published: December 20, 2024 02:43
DVOA ratings now go all the way back to 1978... and this is still the first successful free kick FG in my data.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpe6ftfrk2i
Published: December 20, 2024 02:37
https://www.quirkyresearch.com/football-lists/nfl-fair-catch-kick-attempts/
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpcmhgk422i
Published: December 20, 2024 02:09
Chargers defensive DVOA
Weeks 1-9: -12.8% (5)
Weeks 10-15: +2.8% (19)
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpchnf2ws2i
Published: December 20, 2024 02:07
Great block by 84 on that Mims run. Lil'Jordan Humphrey. He's so lil!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpc2jmyrc2i
Published: December 20, 2024 01:59
I feel like Stone Smartt is destined to eventually play for the Patriots just for the Boston accent jokes.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpbtt4rik2i
Published: December 20, 2024 01:56
Broncos No. 1 in ESPN's pass block win rate.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldpbe2vt522i
Published: December 20, 2024 01:47
Kind of crazy how well the Broncos are running the ball tonight. They're 29th in run DVOA and in the first game against the Chargers, most of the rushing yards came from Bo Nix.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldooy35rzs2i
Published: December 19, 2024 20:18
Didn't fit this in but Jackson was also inactive for the second BAL-PIT game in 2019 and he wasn't yet the starter for either of the BAL-PIT games in 2018.
He has played for the Ravens for 7 years and this will be just his 6th start against the Steelers.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldoot2actc2i
Published: December 19, 2024 20:15
Does Lamar Jackson have a history of bad games against the Steelers? Not as much as he has a history of just not playing against the Steelers!
2023: inactive for the 2nd BAL-PIT game
2022: injured for both BAL-PIT games
2021: injured for 2nd BAL-PIT game…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldo7q54wec2o
Published: December 19, 2024 15:45
Fun with the inconsistency of CB stats. Here are CB coverage DVOAs, lower is better.
Derek Stingley
Wk 1-8: +1%
Wk 9-15: -46%
Riq Woolen
Wk 1-8: -43%
Wk 9-15: +25%
Jack Jones
Wk 1-8: -25%
Wk 9-15: +46%
Zyon McCullum
Wk 1-8: -40%
Wk 9-15: +2%
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldo7coab2k2o
Published: December 19, 2024 15:38
If you aren't subscribed to Mike's Substack yet, you should just for this post!
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldo7b4qnbk2o
Published: December 19, 2024 15:37
Come join us at 11am Eastern!
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldo6kq2joc2o
Published: December 19, 2024 15:24
According to the @ftnfantasy.bsky.social StatsHub, C.J. Stroud ranks 31st out of 32 qualifying QBs in DVOA against the blitz this season.
I'm Steve Spagnuolo and I approve this message.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldo64fdvu227
Published: December 19, 2024 15:16
New at @ftnfantasy.bsky.social, @brykno.bsky.social has our ballot for the 2024 Pro Bowl defense and special teams, featuring a lot of Broncos and Eagles! ($$)
https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/our-2024-pro-bowl-ballot-defense
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldmcsq3fy226
Published: December 18, 2024 21:35
More Ravens... they're a fascinating team.
The Ravens are the No. 2 DVOA offense in "late and close" which means any play in the 2H or OT with the score within 8 pts. Only GB has been better.
The Ravens are the worst defense in the NFL in "late and…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldmchm4j6s26
Published: December 18, 2024 21:29
The Ravens defense is below average on the other 80 yards of the field, of course, but note that they held the Steelers to nothing but field goals the first time the two teams met...
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldmcde76i226
Published: December 18, 2024 21:26
Speaking of the red zone, here are some fun DVOA stats.
No. 1 offense in the red zone: Baltimore
No. 1 defense in the red zone: Also Baltimore
No. 32 offense in the red zone: Dallas
No. 32 defense in the red zone: Also Dallas
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldmc6zimcc26
Published: December 18, 2024 21:24
Here's another tidbit as I prep tomorrow's Week 16 preview podcast with @miketanier.bsky.social: The Vikings defense doesn't have a lot of weaknesses but one of them is the red zone where they are just 16th in DVOA. Too bad the Seahawks suck so bad there…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldmbsizefs26
Published: December 18, 2024 21:17
The Baltimore Ravens defense is dead last in DVOA against WR1, so George Pickens' status for Saturday's game is a very important question!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldm4zxrtnc2b
Published: December 18, 2024 19:52
Updated Coverage DVOA Top CB Thru Wk 15 (min 300 routes)
B.Murphy MIN
P.Surtain DEN
T.Still LAC
D.Baker TEN
T.Smith TB
B.Bishop PIT
J.Johnson CHI
C.Benford BUF
D.Jackson PIT
G.Williams ARI
I'll run full numbers again for FTN subscribers after Week 17.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldlo56kgek2g
Published: December 18, 2024 15:25
New on @ftnfantasy.bsky.social from @brykno.bsky.social: Our picks for the 2024 Pro Bowl ballot (offense). The AFC QBs are easy! The NFC QBs are much harder. Plus, everyone from Ja'Marr Chase to Derrick Henry to THREE Eagles OLs. QBs free, rest is…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldlmmuoqkc2h
Published: December 18, 2024 14:58
Hi! Did you miss yesterday's DVOA commentary? Wrote about why we have the Ravens at No. 1 instead of the Bills, and some of the differences between DVOA and EPA related to fourth downs, fourth quarters, and turnovers.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldjpibeehc23
Published: December 17, 2024 20:44
From drive stats guru James Armstrong: Philly's 21-play drive to end the game against Pittsburgh was the longest game-ending drive in terms of the number of plays in the 32 years we have drive data for.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldjmq6u72223
Published: December 17, 2024 19:55
With the Ravens now No. 1 in DVOA at 9-5, of course they have the best DVOA ever for a 9-5 team.
13 teams since 1979 have gone from 9-5 to a Super Bowl. Here's where they stood in DVOA at the time.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldjmcztd7c23
Published: December 17, 2024 19:47
One thing you may notice in this week's DVOA ratings is that Detroit has fallen out of the top spot in special teams. That's now held by the Steelers.
https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/team-total-dvoa
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldjidoz4x223
Published: December 17, 2024 18:36
Among the tidbits in here... including "aborted plays," the Ravens have 11 fumbles on runs. The Bills have ZERO. How predictive is that? We'll see!
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldji3x2plc23
Published: December 17, 2024 18:32
New DVOA ratings and commentary. All the other advanced metrics based on EPA have the Bills on top. DVOA now has the 9-5 Ravens at No. 1. What are the differences? Start with turnovers, fourth downs, and the fourth quarter.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldjca7qsa223
Published: December 17, 2024 16:47
https://ftnfantasy.com/mlb/the-ultimate-2025-fantasy-baseball-guide
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldj72yk7ws27
Published: December 17, 2024 15:50
DVOA Game Projections are now updated for Week 16 for @ftnfantasy.bsky.social subscribers! A lot of cold weather depressing scoring projections this week.
https://ftnfantasy.com/dvoa/nfl/dvoa-game-projections
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldj5jzmrl227
Published: December 17, 2024 15:23
Here's why Kirk Cousins looks extra crispy.
QB passing DVOA
Weeks 1-9: +20.7%
Weeks 10-15: -20.2%
He has been extra crispy for a month and a half, but not the whole season.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldj4mcvuek27
Published: December 17, 2024 15:06
My preseason takes weren't all great this year, but one that I'm proud of is that you couldn't trust two old quarterbacks coming off Achilles injuries to be as good as they were before the injuries. Kirk Cousins is now 13th in pass DYAR. Aaron Rodgers is…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldj4j4f7vk27
Published: December 17, 2024 15:04
Yesterday's Quick Reads is now updated with MNF data. Best and worst players of the week by DYAR ($).
https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-15-quick-reads-middle-of-the-road
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldj46nfoj227
Published: December 17, 2024 14:58
Updated DVOA Playoff Odds. Vikings now up to a 25% chance of winning the NFC North.
https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playoff-odds
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldhsxoqhhk2n
Published: December 17, 2024 02:41
They need to give Caleb Williams an electic buzzer that delivers a shock if he doesn't throw the ball within 3 seconds.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldhrwm2jpk2n
Published: December 17, 2024 02:22
From now on that "let's draw them offsides" play is going to be called the banana in the tailpipe because nobody is falling for it.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldhpzcyayk2a
Published: December 17, 2024 01:48
Falcons have lost faith in Koo from 56?
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldhf4ct7n227
Published: December 16, 2024 22:33
Some of the responses I've gotten on this...
1986 Jets (10-1, lost last five games due to injuries)
2015 Patriots
2020 Chiefs
2023 Bills
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldhefbt57c27
Published: December 16, 2024 22:20
Trying to come up with an equivalent to the Detroit Lions, another team that was dominating the season and then just ran into way too many injuries but NOT the starting QB. Any suggestions? I'm combing through old DVOA numbers and no team stands out to me.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldh3kjhlps23
Published: December 16, 2024 19:42
Sorry I was not clear about this. This is SO FAR, not including Weeks 16-18.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldh3kovk4s23
Published: December 16, 2024 19:42
Sorry I was not clear about this. This is SO FAR, not including Weeks 16-18.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldh2lx27dc23
Published: December 16, 2024 19:25
Teams with the hardest defensive schedules based on average offense of opponent: SEA, ARI, TB, SF, LAR.
Easiest defensive schedules based on average offense of opponent: NYJ, NE, WAS, JAX, DEN.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldh2k4g37223
Published: December 16, 2024 19:24
Teams with the hardest offensive schedules based on average defense of opponent: GB, JAX, IND, LAR, DET.
Easiest offensive schedules based on average defense of opponent: PHI by far, then NO, WAS, DEN, and HOU.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldguhre7rc23
Published: December 16, 2024 17:35
New Quick Reads at @ftnfantasy.bsky.social: Jared Goff throws to the middle of the field more than anyone else, but he's not as good as it as you might think! (FREE) Plus, best and worst players of Week 15 by DYAR highlighted by Goff and Josh Allen ($).
…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgthzbyos2q
Published: December 16, 2024 17:17
Montgomery too? Oh man.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgox4r22c24
Published: December 16, 2024 15:56
Coming in five minutes.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgmnao6vk24
Published: December 16, 2024 15:15
As always, I could not do these old years of play-by-play without a ton of help from @quirkyresearch.bsky.social. Thank you!
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgmm7brh224
Published: December 16, 2024 15:14
Lots of 2024 to talk about today but I also have some old DVOA news.
We're done with 1978!
Top players are very similar to 1979: Staubach, Campbell, Jefferson.
Top teams are Steelers/Cowboys. But who's No. 1? You'll find out when we run all the numbers…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgje7wv5s24
Published: December 16, 2024 14:16
DVOA Playoff Odds are now updated. We have the Philadelphia Eagles as our new SB favorites.
I tried to estimate a penalty for the Detroit defensive injuries. It's tough to get quite right because you don't want to overweight a small sample size.
…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgi5oo35224
Published: December 16, 2024 13:55
Buffalo would be on this list, by the way, if we only tracked from midseason.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgi463vqc24
Published: December 16, 2024 13:54
Detroit Lions defensive DVOA
Weeks 1-11: -20.5% (3rd)
Weeks 12-15: +12.7% (25th)
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldghnjjme224
Published: December 16, 2024 13:46
Here's an updated list of the top offenses in DVOA history, now through 14 games.
There's a real discrepancy between EPA and DVOA when it comes to the Ravens, I'll be looking into that later today. Some of it is related to penalties.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldgfxzxjrk24
Published: December 16, 2024 13:16
Thanks in large part to opponent adjustments (because the Cowboys are bad), Carolina's 30-14 loss to Dallas yesterday gets -117% DVOA, which is the worst single game of the year.
The Panthers have the two worst games, the other being Week 1 vs. New…
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldfbdlqngk2x
Published: December 16, 2024 02:20
Carrington Valentine should get fined for taking that interception out of the end zone. They almost tackled you in the end zone, dude, just go down and take the ball at the 20.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf4qavli22x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:58
Reposting this because the scores did, in fact, hold.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf4clpops2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:50
In case anybody says "the Lions would have won without the onside kick attempt," remember we have no idea how much longer the Bills would have held onto the ball on that offensive possession if the Lions had kicked deep.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf3y5qkgs2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:44
Ed Oliver has been fantastic for the Bills today. Drawing penalties, getting pressures.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf3keiois2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:36
Totally missed the Ravens when I was looking at Saquon Barkley vs. the top 10 run defenses. Real brain fart. Deleted my previous tweet.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf3i2o2yc2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:35
The amazing thing about this drive is that most of the positive plays were passes!
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf33kuanc2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:28
As good as the Bills offense has been today, just incredibly strong, their defense *has* given up five touchdowns. They're struggling with some defensive injuries too, not just the Lions.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf2lar5os2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:19
My preseason takes were not as accurate as usual this season but "Atlanta to miss the playoffs" may end up correct.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf2ic27hc2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:17
The reason I'm not a big fan of the onside kick is that the recovery rate for onside kicks is SO low right now. But I understand the thought process here.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldf2b5drys2x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:13
Very interesting decision by the Lions to onside kick. I think they figured they would just have such a hard time stopping the Bills offense, it didn't matter what yard line the Bills got the ball, they needed the chance to get an additional possession.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldezjybxa22x
Published: December 16, 2024 00:00
Just saw the Nick Bonitto play. That looked like a forward pass to me by Mitchell and should be an interception not a fumble recovery. What a play!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldezaux27s2x
Published: December 15, 2024 23:55
Steelers just can't get running room today. They finally do, and they get called for a clip.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeyutzusk2x
Published: December 15, 2024 23:49
By DVOA, the Lions have three below-average games on defense this year after applying opponent adjustments. Let's assume today will be the fourth.
Week 4
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Uh-oh.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeyqam6yc2x
Published: December 15, 2024 23:46
Finally saw the effect of all those Lions injuries today, huh?
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeychsxsc2g
Published: December 15, 2024 23:38
Face Mask is listed as Ragnow but the replay on Red Zone looked like it was Glasgow (60)?
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldey2x65zc2g
Published: December 15, 2024 23:34
One of those unfair fumble assignments that Wilson has to be given the fumble because Najee Harris dropped the pitch. (The last player to fully possess the ball gets the fumble.)
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldevcrkiz22g
Published: December 15, 2024 22:45
Bills missing a 24-yard field goal, what is it, 1983?
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldev76vkr22g
Published: December 15, 2024 22:43
Reminder from a week ago.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeuhf4dhs26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:29
No 1 seed odds if current scores hold -- and they may not!
NFC: 56% Lions, 34% Eagles, 10% Vikings
AFC: 61% Chiefs, 38% Bills, 1% Steelers
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeu3rvkes26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:23
Jackson having a surprisingly good season for the Steelers and this would be a major loss if he can't come back today.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeu2wypis26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:23
If current scores hold, there's a chance that both the NFC North and the No. 1 seed will come down to Vikings-Lions in Week 18.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetwulcoc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:20
It's amazing that DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown are basically the same height with 56 pounds of weight difference, playing the same position.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetsiddgs26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:18
If current scores hold -- it's still kind of early -- remember that the Lions have a better conference record than the Eagles, 8-1 vs. 7-2 and a better division record than the Vikings, 4-0 vs. 2-1.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetpmowjk26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:16
This is a great game for Joe Brady, whenever I flip to Red Zone the Bills are running through giant holes untouched, such as both of the last two touchdowns.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetlta4ls26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:14
Here's @brykno.bsky.social talking about how the Bills and Lions are aggressive on fourth downs. Not that this would be timely or anything.
https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/the-aggressive-mindset-of-the-lions-and-bills
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetg6bfuc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:11
In all seriousness, I appreciate the devotion of the Lions fans but Jared Goff is fourth in passing DYAR this year without even considering Jackson and Allen's rushing value OR the easy buttons that Ben Johnson hammers for him.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetdklsbc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:09
I guess Tim Patrick is not the Most Valuable Patrick, so Lions fans are just confused.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldetcdqbcc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:09
This is the best I've seen the Eagles run defense. They're actually only 14th in adjusted line yards but 4th in DVOA in part because they've been very good in short-yardage situations. They're not normally this good in first-and-10s.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldet3zidqc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:05
The Lions fans are chanting MVP and it is true that Tim Patrick is the Most Valuable Patrick.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldesyyi7pc26
Published: December 15, 2024 22:04
Easy TD drive for the Eagles, didn't even need a third down.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldet2gkod226
Published: December 15, 2024 22:04
Jared Goff finally gets the Lions on the board... a good play and under pressure no less!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldessxlwz226
Published: December 15, 2024 22:00
Steelers currently at 0.1 yards per play and it's tied 3-3 because of fumbles.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldesg754fs2r
Published: December 15, 2024 21:53
Given the state of the Lions defense, the surprise is less "Bills 9.4 yards per play" and more "Lions 0.4 yards per play."
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldesdvpfy22r
Published: December 15, 2024 21:52
This is why you're getting Steelers-Eagles comments from me... no Lions-Bills in New England today.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldesb6kulc2r
Published: December 15, 2024 21:50
Steelers may be 6th in scoring offense but they're 18th in DVOA and we're seeing the weakness so far today against the very strong Eagles defense, best in the league over the last two months.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3lderq6wqsc2r
Published: December 15, 2024 21:41
Hard to start better for the Eagles defense. Two three-and-outs. Steelers unable to run so far.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeoxzmhls2t
Published: December 15, 2024 20:51
I realize Jameis is a gunslinger but do the Browns really think they're getting more out of DTR?
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeo7t3cls2c
Published: December 15, 2024 20:38
Jameis Winston is the Leroy Jenkins of the NFL.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldemotfiwk2c
Published: December 15, 2024 20:10
I can do all the adjusting for defense I want but this has nothing to do with the Giants being a bad defense.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldekkd44q22c
Published: December 15, 2024 19:32
I was about to write: "Chiefs up 17-0 at halftime. We said the run of close wins couldn't continue. Could this be the long-awaited... gasp... LARGE CHIEFS WIN?"
Uh, Butker missed the field goal. OK, 14-0. Not as big.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeisdoayk2c
Published: December 15, 2024 19:01
Cleveland No. 1 in adjusted line yards on defense. Surprised to see the Chiefs running well on them!
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldeig4e22k2c
Published: December 15, 2024 18:54
Cleveland's coverage DVOA, by the way:
D.Ward -21.1%
M.Emerson 17.7% (questionable to return)
G.Newsome 36.7%
Lower is better.
https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldei6h37x22c
Published: December 15, 2024 18:50
Worse than this is that CBS graphic which shows which of the last 10 throws have been complete with checks and X's.
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https://bsky.app/profile/aschatz.bsky.social/post/3ldehr4efts2c
Published: December 15, 2024 18:42
If you drop the min to 200 routes, the bottom guys include Jahan Dotson, Ja'Lynn Polk, Mason Tipton. Polk's really disappointing to me.
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