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What are the most important risks and precursors of global catastrophic risks each week? We parse millions of news pieces a week to find out. Sentinel is a foresight team and emergency response team seeking to anticipate & react to large-scale catastrophes, particularly those of a speculative nature. Learn more at https://sentinel-team.org
Site URL: blog.sentinel-team.org/
Feed URL: feeds.type3.audio/sentinel-minutes.rss
Posts: 8
Followers: 1
“Making sense of Israel’s strikes on Iran” by Nuño Sempere, belikewater
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/making-sense-of-israels-strike-on
Published: June 13, 2025 00:00
until midnight NYC time. This article was collaboratively written by: Nuño Sempere, Brian Yu, Kati Conen, Alex Lyzhov, Jaeho Lee and 30+ other contributors. Those of us who are in the US are going to sleep, but the document continues being available and…
“Trump sent the National Guard to Los Angeles, Russia intensified conventional attacks on Ukraine, US-Iran nuclear talks continue | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #23/2025” by Nuño Sempere, Tolga Bilge, belikewater, Vidur Kapur
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/trump-sent-the-national-guard-to
Published: June 9, 2025 18:39
Executive summary Trump federalized National Guard troops and ordered them to be deployed to Los Angeles amid anti-deportation protests, against the California governor's wishes. Federal officials are calling the protests an insurrection, setting the stage…
“Ukraine drones destroy 41 Russian planes, proposed taxes on foreign investment, uranium enrichment continues in Iran | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #22/2025” by Nuño Sempere
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/ukraine-drones-destroy-41-russian
Published: June 2, 2025 16:31
Executive summary On Sunday, Ukraine carried out a drone attack on five Russian military airbases, destroying 41 military planes, including strategic bombers. The attack took 18 months to plan and execute, and some Russian military bloggers are calling it…
“Iran nuclear talks survive, Claude 4 release, trade tensions reignite | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #21/2025.” by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/iran-nuclear-talks-survive-claude
Published: May 26, 2025 15:51
...and the short term-chance of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan this year and the next. Executive summary The fifth round of nuclear talks between the US and Iran concluded with no agreement, but the two sides agreed to meet again. US intelligence suggests…
“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #20/2025: US credit rating downgraded, $1T in Gulf state investments in the US, Kurdistan Workers’ Party disbanded.” by Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Tolga Bilge, Vidur Kapur
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-202025-df7
Published: May 19, 2025 17:23
Executive summary Moody's downgraded the US credit rating as the US budget deficit grows and US borrowing costs rise. House Republicans are advancing a budget that would increase the deficit further. Meanwhile, China is reducing its holdings of US…
“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #20/2025: India/Pakistan ceasefire, US/China tariffs deal & OpenAI nonprofit control” by Nuño Sempere
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-202025
Published: May 12, 2025 16:59
Executive summary India and Pakistan have agreed to a ceasefire, and despite initial breaches, it now seems to be holding. The Trump administration and China agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days while talks continue. Markets rejoiced. The Trump…
“The Risk of Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan” by Rai Sur, Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/the-risk-of-nuclear-war-between-india
Published: May 9, 2025 00:00
Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, and Lisa discuss the possibility of nuclear escalation between India and Pakistan. Timestamps (00:16:00) - Intro (00:43:00) - Background on the conflict (02:26:13) - Direct forecasts of nuclear weapons use (15:45:10) - The role…
“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #18/2025: US tariff shortages, military policing, Gaza famine.” by Nuño Sempere, Tolga Bilge, belikewater, Vidur Kapur
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-182025
Published: May 5, 2025 15:24
Executive summary Shortages of some goods expected in the US starting later this month, because of tariffs. The power outage on the Iberian Peninsula was the worst in Europe since 2003, and Europe may have been close to a more widespread blackout. …