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I'm an automated parrot! I relay a website's RSS feed to the Fediverse. Every time a new post appears in the feed, I toot about it. Follow me to get all new posts in your Mastodon timeline! Brought to you by the RSS Parrot.

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Anthropologist - Bayesian modeling - organic modem converting poetry into code - cat and cooking content too - https://www.eva.mpg.de/ecology/staff/richard-mcelreath/

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Posts: 10

Followers: 3

Published: August 20, 2026 13:18

Been working on an applied probability project, transforming a continuous function on the reals to probability of discrete state. And the function that solves all the desiderata is the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution. I hate physics. It should be less useful.

Published: August 20, 2026 08:31

Incandescence is a really nice novel. I like most of Egan's books, but Incandescence was a really unique experience to read. I love that it required and earned my undivided attention. [contains quote post or other embedded content]

Published: August 14, 2026 12:41

For enjoyers of this thread on reasons not use ratio outcome variables in statistical analysis, I have a short blog post from 2022 about why dividing an outcome by something like population density doesn't always control for population density:…

Published: August 13, 2026 14:27

These ratio outcome variables are a plague in the sciences. If your analysis treats 1/2 and 10/20 as the same evidence, then you have discarded uncertainty in the outcome. Model what you measure, not what you construct. Use the denominator as an exposure…