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Conversation, politics and stray insights
Site URL: sluggerotoole.com
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Posts: 19
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GE ’24: Fermanagh & South Tyrone Constituency Profile…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/25/ge-24-fermanagh-south-tyrone-constituency-profile/
Published: June 25, 2024 15:48
This was the most marginal Westminster constituency in the UK in 2019, with only 57 votes separating the winner, Michelle Gildernew, from Tom Elliot (UUP). The seat has seesawed back and forth between unionist and nationalist ever since it was created as a…
And back to the facts… a reply to Professor O’Leary
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/25/and-back-to-the-facts-a-reply-to-professor-oleary/
Published: June 25, 2024 05:10
Colin Coulter and Peter Shirlow respond to four key points raised by Professor Brendan O’Leary in his challenge to their original paper published here on Slugger last week, along with clarification of some of the language used in both pieces. In his…
GE ’24: Foyle Constituency Profile…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/24/ge-24-foyle-constituency-profile/
Published: June 24, 2024 13:41
This was the safest Westminster constituency in Northern Ireland in 2019, with 17,110 votes separating the winner, Colum Eastwood (SDLP) from the second placed Elisha McCallion (SF). McCallion had won the seat in 2017. Prior to that the SDLP had held the…
Changing Shared Island to Shared Ireland will invite defence, not collaboration.
Published: June 24, 2024 08:19
There was much packed into the recent Ireland’s Future event at the SSE arena but little debate. Apart from the mild rebuke of former UDA member and loyalist politician David Adams arising from comments by an unnamed member of the Irelands’ Future Board in…
UTV Election Debate: A win for Eastwood with Long and Robinson taking aim at one another
Published: June 23, 2024 20:07
Representatives from the five main parties gathered at UTV today in the first local debate ahead of the General Election on July 4th. John Finucane for Sinn Fein, Colum Eastwood for the SDLP, Naomi Long for the Alliance Party, Robbie Butler for the UUP,…
Open sunday – politics free zone…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/23/open-sunday-politics-free-zone-87/
Published: June 23, 2024 06:05
In addition to our normal open Sunday, we have a politics-free post to give you all a break. So discuss what you like here, but no politics.
Open Sunday – discuss what you like…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/23/open-sunday-discuss-what-you-like-117/
Published: June 23, 2024 06:00
The idea for Open Sunday is to let you discuss what you like. Just two rules. Keep it civil and no man/woman playing.
And if the cloud bursts thunder in your ear…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/23/and-if-the-cloud-bursts-thunder-in-your-ear/
Published: June 23, 2024 05:55
I’ve always been mad, I know I’ve been mad. I’ve been mad for f**king years. Well, not my words, but it could explain why I’ve been listening to a particular album for fifty years. Not any old album. But the best ever in my opinion. The Dark Side of the…
Winners and losers in the Irish local and European elections
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/22/winners-and-losers-in-the-irish-local-and-european-elections/
Published: June 22, 2024 16:56
So what are the long term trends in Irish local election results? Much has been written about the Irish local and European election results, but mostly from a very partisan perspective. There is nothing much wrong with that except that it is very prone to…
Brendan O’Leary – How not to engage in public discourse as scholars…
Published: June 22, 2024 10:27
Brendan O’Leary is the Lauder Professor of Political Science at the University of Pennsylvania Professors Coulter and Shirlow are unnecessarily rude, and conspiratorial. The suggestion that I read from a “script” produced by the organizers among Ireland’s…
GE ’24: Mid Ulster Constituency Profile…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/22/ge-24-mid-ulster-constituency-profile/
Published: June 22, 2024 10:16
This was the sixth safest Westminster constituency in Northern Ireland in 2019, with 9,537 votes separating the winner, Francie Malloy (Sinn Féin), from Keith Buchanan (DUP). Malloy had held the seat since a by-election in 2013. Prior to that the seat had…
GE ’24: Newry and Armagh Constituency Profile…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/21/ge-24-newry-and-armagh-constituency-profile/
Published: June 21, 2024 14:55
Newry and Armagh delivered a 9,287 majority for Micky Brady (Sinn Féin), with William Irwin (DUP) in second place. The constituency was only created in 1983. For the first three years it had a unionist MP but has been nationalist ever since. The changes…
Is Naomi Long’s weakness, her ‘inability to admit an obvious mistake?’
Published: June 21, 2024 08:15
Obelisk is a Slugger reader from County Tyrone In launching her party’s manifesto, Alliance leader and East Belfast candidate Naomi Long emphasised that she felt the ‘honeymoon period’ for the return of Stormont has ended. People now want results, less…
Why facts (should) matter when it comes to discussing our political future…
Published: June 21, 2024 07:48
Colin Coulter and Peter Shirlow interrogate the overall data to question confident predictions around the future constitutional destination of Northern Ireland and come up some challenging questions for a popular media narrative. On Saturday last,…
Rumblings of discontent over North Belfast parade…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/20/rumblings-of-discontent-over-north-belfast-parade/
Published: June 20, 2024 11:04
It’s amazing how you manage to block out troublesome memories. The COVID lockdown has been largely consigned to the recycle bin of my mind. Likewise, many moons ago, at this time of year, the pages of Slugger would be wall to wall with posts about parades…
GE ’24: North Antrim Constituency Profile…
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/20/ge-24-north-antrim-constituency-profile/
Published: June 20, 2024 10:33
This was the fourth safest Westminster constituency in Northern Ireland in 2019, with 12,721 votes separating the winner, Ian Paisley Jr (DUP) from the second placed Robin Swann (UUP). Paisley took over the seat from his father. It has been in the family…
When God closes a door, sometimes the window stays shut.
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/19/when-god-closes-a-door-sometimes-the-window-stays-shut/
Published: June 19, 2024 12:21
In London and Belfast two events occurred that at first glance seem only tangentially related but which when taken together seem to set the course for our own future after the election is out of the way. The first, as this report in The Guardian from Eleni…
The Ireland squad for the tour to South Africa has been named
https://sluggerotoole.com/2024/06/19/the-ireland-squad-for-the-tour-to-south-africa-has-been-named/
Published: June 19, 2024 11:43
Forwards: Ryan Baird, Finlay Bealham, Tadhg Beirne, Caelan Doris, Tadhg Furlong, Cian Healy, Rob Herring, Cormac Izuchukwu, Oli Jager, Ronan Kelleher, Joe McCarthy, Peter O’Mahony, Tom O’Toole, Andrew Porter, Cian Prendergast, James Ryan, Dan Sheehan, Nick…
If you live in West Belfast don’t be expecting the Alliance candidate to be knocking on your door…
Published: June 19, 2024 09:48
I was thinking of getting one of those video doorbell yokes. The main benefit was to screen out one of the minor miseries of the modern world – 21st-century door-to-door salespeople. You are sitting down to your dinner when the doorbell goes, and you are…