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Site URL: bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social

Feed URL: bsky.app/profile/did:plc:j76trmiofvaxxpvx2vnb2vwf/rss

Posts: 54

Followers: 5

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lp7vgh6skk2u

Published: May 15, 2025 16:06

The resurrection of this guy as some sort of scientific martyr is unbearably bleak. He was wrong about COVID and recommended policies that would have resulted in hundreds of thousands of unnecessary deaths! Why is his marginalization anything other than a…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lp7roj2ngs2u

Published: May 15, 2025 14:59

No. A years-old, inactivated virus from another species infecting a human researcher is lottery-level unlikely. An infection of this kind has never been documented and there is no mechanism by which it could happen accidentally. [contains quote post or…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lp5nj6zvxc2y

Published: May 14, 2025 18:39

Anothing thing to note is that there were only four markets in Wuhan that sold live animals. "Cases of a novel virus are clustered around one of the few places we know animals and humans persistently interact in tight quarters" is pretty good Bayesian…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lp3g5krp222s

Published: May 13, 2025 21:22

"The treatment of the lab leak shows the left is prone to groupthink" sounds like a great argument until you realize they're skipping the part where they've shown the lab leak theory to be true. If it's false and we're treating it like it's false then…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lp32dt2jws23

Published: May 13, 2025 17:51

The Nation was spoon-fed documents from a bad-faith Republican House committee and covered them as if they were a scandal. The more I look into the lab leak the more shocked I am at how desperately the media tried to launder the theory into something…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lozg2sg2fs2w

Published: May 13, 2025 02:15

No. The market was less than a mile away from an office of the Chinese CDC, an administrative building that was not doing virus research. The lab was across town, an area where zero early cases have been identified. [contains quote post or other embedded…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3loylquqa6k2d

Published: May 12, 2025 18:24

I hear this myth all the time and it’s bizarre. Rich people hire property management companies to handle all the logistics for them and still get 90% of the rent each month. The idea that landlords are forgoing free money en masse makes no sense. …

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3loyg5ktvhc2f

Published: May 12, 2025 16:44

Developing vaccines and medical treatments requires understanding the mechanisms by which viruses infect human cells. It is not remotely suspicious for a country that has experienced deadly outbreaks of a disease to be performing work to understand that…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3loy5e5f3pc2a

Published: May 12, 2025 14:06

No. The actual situation is that a lab was storing frozen samples of bat poo 10 miles from the outbreak of a virus. None of the early cases were clustered around the lab. Lab workers tested negative for antibodies in March 2020. [contains quote post or…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3loy3tv5gwc2u

Published: May 12, 2025 13:39

Another important thing to keep in mind about the lab leak: Virologists have the tools to make *extremely specific* discrete changes to viruses, but a) they can't build one from scratch and b) if COVID was made that way it would be extremely obvious! …

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3loy3ajsqok2u

Published: May 12, 2025 13:29

The key with lab-leakers is to demand that they spell out precisely what they think happened. Most of them toggle between "existing virus leaked," "manipulated virus leaked" and "china designed a bioweapon" in a way that is characteristic of conspiracy…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lox5kucj7k27

Published: May 12, 2025 04:38

No. Statements like this imply that both theories of the pandemic’s origin are equally plausible. The reality is that one has evidence and scientific consensus behind it and the other is wildly implausible. The wildlife trade represents a far bigger risk…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3low6ornuzk27

Published: May 11, 2025 19:25

Guys if the virus was circulating months before the outbreak in Wuhan we would know. COVID is an extremely infectious and deadly disease! We see hospitalizations and deaths dramatically spike everywhere it appears [contains quote post or other embedded…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3low6kip22c27

Published: May 11, 2025 19:23

My understanding is that it’s technically possible but a bat virus hopping from frozen poo samples to humans is *extremely* unlikely. Every previous lab leak has been from an already-existing human virus (sars, smallpox) or a live animal (Marburg). …

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lovutpjhnk2m

Published: May 11, 2025 16:29

No. The lab wasn’t doing gain of function work on anything remotely similar to COVID. If one of its ‘chimeric viruses’ leaked we would have a SARS1 outbreak. There is no such thing as an ‘accidental’ version of the lab leak that aligns with anything we…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lovtnzxjj224

Published: May 11, 2025 16:08

This seems like kind of a big story and it's frustrating that we're still getting "it's time for liberals to consider the lab leak" think pieces. The two best pieces of "evidence" come directly from the Trump Administration and have completely fallen apart…

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lovi2ygv522k

Published: May 11, 2025 12:40

I dunno, I think it's pretty obvious why the NIH didn't design a years-long study to determine the efficacy of masks in March of 2020. https://www.compactmag.com/article/restoring-trust-in-public-health/ [contains quote post or other embedded content]

https://bsky.app/profile/michaelhobbes.bsky.social/post/3lot7dieu6c2j

Published: May 10, 2025 14:59

60% of Americans have a chronic condition. Among people over 65, it's 95%. Saying most of our health care spending goes to chronic conditions is just another way of saying it goes to health care. [contains quote post or other embedded content]