🦜 @eliotjacobson.bsky.social on Bluesky
@bsky.app.profile.eliotjacobson.bsky.social@rss-parrot.net
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Retired professor of mathematics and computer science, author of 4 books: 3 on casino games & 1 poetry book. Now I volunteer, walk a lot & feed local critters.
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e-mail the birb.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lcbwvkcnw22t
Published: December 2, 2024 01:10
I don't think I can say this enough: the environmental movement has lost its way.
Environmentalism is not about sustainability and finding substitutes for fossil fuels in solar, wind, etc.
Environmentalism is about saving as much of the planet as…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lcavk4e5rk2u
Published: December 1, 2024 15:13
For a good time:
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lcatk2bwc22e
Published: December 1, 2024 14:37
Your 'moment of doom' for Dec. 1, 2024 ~ Planetary boundaries.
"Land degradation is expanding worldwide at the rate of 1m sq km every year, undermining efforts to stabilise the climate, protect nature and ensure sustainable food supplies"
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lcappmh3422y
Published: December 1, 2024 13:29
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Because it is now going to be practically impossible to keep this side of the 1.5°C dangerous climate change guardrail, what we can be certain of is that climate breakdown will be all-pervasive."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lcaokuvx2k2t
Published: December 1, 2024 13:08
Still above 1.6°C in 2024. On track for long-term warming breaking 1.5°C in 2027.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc6yrvfpgc27
Published: November 30, 2024 21:06
Gracie the red nose reincat.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc6ceji3b22f
Published: November 30, 2024 14:25
Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ Unintended consequences.
"While this effectively lowers temperatures within the LRM zone, it also disrupts weather patterns, reducing rainfall both inside and outside the zone."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc66dmrizc2n
Published: November 30, 2024 13:13
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Right now there is no reason the global climate couldn't push past tipping points that mean only 1 billion people can live on the planet."
https://thenewpress.com/books/end-of-ice
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc665f7cmk2n
Published: November 30, 2024 13:09
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 30, 2024 ~ BOE!
"The loss of ice in the poles can disrupt the jet stream, pushing it south and bringing bitter winters to the continent. Similarly, less reflection means more trapped heat, spurring more intense heatwaves…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc4off2w3k26
Published: November 29, 2024 22:55
My MEER talk is coming soon! This Sunday -- 2PM EST. Hope to see you there.
Here's a direct link:
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/83708894361?pwd=ikCO40610kcESfwXgrkPvyFabLtkKm.1
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc3slloyos25
Published: November 29, 2024 14:37
Two recent climate books have remarkably similar titles -- "Saving Us" by Katharine Hayhoe and "Saving Ourselves" by Dana Fisher. The fixation of these books is on saving humanity and civilization over and above the natural environment.
I will await the…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc3qfiyq6k2i
Published: November 29, 2024 13:58
Brazil is still on fire! What's up with that?
https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/packages/cams/
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc3psuwi7c2v
Published: November 29, 2024 13:47
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 29, 2024 ~ Nine meals.
"...droughts magnify resource scarcity, plunging communities toward economic despair and political unrest. The situation has become so dire, violent extremist groups are exploiting the growing…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lc3plrlxzk2v
Published: November 29, 2024 13:43
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"One study after another has established the link between climate gone wild and human conflict. And once the social order falls apart, all kinds of social systems can fall apart, too: police, government, services, food…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbz74pxxes2h
Published: November 28, 2024 13:43
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 28, 2024 ~ The doomer closet.
"Being unhopeful about climate change is so unpopular that I myself, an environment-focused journalist, am fearful of publicly admitting my own pessimistic outlook."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbz5fqq3m22r
Published: November 28, 2024 13:12
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"If humans make the earth basically uniihabitable for many of the plants and animals and civilizations alive today, no matter our other accomplishments, I believe we will have failed as a species."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbxagww7bs2x
Published: November 27, 2024 19:02
My version of CH4 growth vs. NOAA's graphic of CH4 growth.
The difference is that NOAA updates theirs once a year based on the January reading, and I update mine monthly, based on the running 12-month average, taking into account methane's atmospheric…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbwybwiz622w
Published: November 27, 2024 16:36
Here is my version of Mauna Loa CO2 growth vs. NOAA's graphic of Mauna Loa CO2 growth, side-by-side.
The difference is that NOAA updates theirs once a year based on the 4-month average CO2 centered on January 1st, and I update mine monthly, based on the…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbwsivkapk2t
Published: November 27, 2024 14:52
It's been a long time since I've posted an update to North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. It's remarkable how quickly "uncharted territory" gets normalized after the y-axis is extended.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbwqlu37722t
Published: November 27, 2024 14:18
Here is my version of CO2 growth and NOAA's graphic of CO2 growth, side by side. The difference is that NOAA updates theirs based on the exact reading of CO2 at the end of the year, and I update mine monthly, based on the running 12-month average for CO2.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbwjz66kys2c
Published: November 27, 2024 12:20
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 27, 2024 ~ Hot!
"A new study has identified 'hotspots' where temperatures are spiking far beyond what is expected as the planet warms, with some of the most striking examples occurring in the Pacific Northwest and…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbwjfoijrk2c
Published: November 27, 2024 12:09
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"in the end, there is no getting around the laws of physics and biology. When it gets too hot, things die. That's just how it works."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbvei3yqhk2b
Published: November 27, 2024 01:08
Have I mentioned how fabulous it is to make a post and not have to block trolls?
It seems I have PTXD.
https://www.yahoo.com/tech/bluesky-overtakes-threads-liberals-flee-200824138.html
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbvcuijads2i
Published: November 27, 2024 00:40
Is the oppositve of an "apocolyptic optimist" an "apocolyptic pessimist?"
We are f&^ked and we won't do what is necessary to save ourselves.
Instead, we will deny reality, hoard selfishly and kill feverishly until the last moment of human-habitability on…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbvbsuuz3c2z
Published: November 27, 2024 00:21
It's acceptable to be both a doomer and to call b.s. on folks who exaggerate what's happening.
It's worse than bad. But it's not exponential, and in the next five years the methane bomb isn't going off, a blue ocean event isn't super-heating everything…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbumkj4qzb23
Published: November 26, 2024 18:00
Who will pay for Trump's proposed 25% tariff on Mexico, Canada & China?
1️⃣ The manufactures abroad and the exporters
2️⃣ The shippers, wholesalers and importers
3️⃣ The retail stores & other retail outlets
4️⃣ The American consumer and end-point…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbucam3hms2g
Published: November 26, 2024 14:56
In which Sam Mitchell and I make our presidential predictions, January 1, 2024:
youtu.be/Gdn6EcSmk2Y
https://youtu.be/Gdn6EcSmk2Y
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbu7lise322k
Published: November 26, 2024 14:08
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 26, 2024~
"increased levels of plastic pollution in the Southern Ocean – and the ubiquity of micro and nanoplastics almost everywhere we now look – is having an adverse effect on Antarctic krill’s carbon processing…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbu6bsarx22x
Published: November 26, 2024 13:45
CO2 is not growing exponentially! The next step up would be "accelerating" (quadratic) and that's actually what the image shows. But even this is not the case for CO2 growth, as I've shown repeatedly. My next update on CO2 growth will be in early December.…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbu5kt3u3s2n
Published: November 26, 2024 13:32
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"In 1988, when climate scientist James Hansen first testified in Congress and the IPCC was assembled, the atmospheric concentration of CO2 was 350 ppm. Today it is 414 ppm and rising. This number underestimates the threat ..."…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbu33u7zh22e
Published: November 26, 2024 12:48
At last, CERES has published its data for the last two months. The EEI continues to plummet from its July, 2023 record high of 16.2 HpS:
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbsrmxnfpc26
Published: November 26, 2024 00:26
Why was there no firm definition of 1.5C in the Paris Agreement? Leon Simons @leonsimons.bsky.social gives the answer:
https://youtube.com/shorts/G5L1LikP_l4
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbsrd32k7c26
Published: November 26, 2024 00:20
This survey shows the dismal failure of the Paris Agreement and the IPCC to clearly and unequivocally define what surely is the single most important number in the history of humanity.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbryfjyxjc23
Published: November 25, 2024 16:54
Warning!
Trolls incoming! Doing quite a bit of blocking today.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbrpqi6pvs2e
Published: November 25, 2024 14:19
In case you were wondering ...
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/get-ready-for-more-volcanic-eruptions-as-the-planet-warms/
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbrnxe7r222i
Published: November 25, 2024 13:47
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Those more panicked are often hardly less complacent, living instead through climate fatalism as though it were climate optimism."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbrmrmzzoc2y
Published: November 25, 2024 13:26
Breaking News!
A new daily record!
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbqbxz4rik2m
Published: November 25, 2024 00:40
Honestly, sometimes I am so grateful that I don't have any invisible friends to ask favors of or sing songs to.
Here is the picture of the day, took it on my walk today -- a local crow with grey feathers. A visible very friend!
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbqboy6phs2m
Published: November 25, 2024 00:35
For those who preach that warming is linear on a decadal scale, and for those who take a whole-globe approach to warming, this paper should tip the scales towards global acceleration with regional differences, mainly due to aerosols:
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbp7qnnya22k
Published: November 24, 2024 14:28
In case you missed it, the two-year running mean for the global surface temperature anomaly exceeded 1.5°C for the first time on November 4, 2024.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbp67y5jp22r
Published: November 24, 2024 14:01
Please vote!
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https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbp5u6lyd22m
Published: November 24, 2024 13:54
Breaking News!
Code Yikes!
As of November 23rd, Arctic sea-ice extent is now second-lowest for the date.
Will the Arctic hit a new record daily-low before the year is out? The climate 8-ball says ... FAFO.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbp3odqcek2h
Published: November 24, 2024 13:15
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"It's bad, it's getting worse, and nothing we have done comes anywhere near to what is needed."
https://cup.columbia.edu/book/saving-ourselves/9780231557870
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbp2ttwts22i
Published: November 24, 2024 13:00
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 24, 2024 ~
"The dollar amounts pledged and the emissions reductions promised are not enough. They were never going to be enough. And even then, based on our experience with such pledges in the past, we know they will not be…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbn75fisqs2u
Published: November 23, 2024 19:12
Brilliant, must watch!
https://youtu.be/-oxQ5fmiI9M?si=v5u5qleqRu5ZP9dc
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbmpiz6fns26
Published: November 23, 2024 14:32
English translation:
Greta Thunberg warns #COP29 is "about to agree to a death sentence"
"The COP processes are not only failing, they are part of a system built on injustice, designed to sacrifice current and future generations so that a select few can…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbmoxbdqk52k
Published: November 23, 2024 14:22
How much has the planet warmed with respect to the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline? This is "long-term warming" as considered in the Paris Agreement.
1️⃣ Less than 1.30°C
2️⃣ 1.30°C - 1.49°C
3️⃣ 1.50°C - 1.99°C
4️⃣ 2.00°C or more
📊 Show results
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbmlgsl53224
Published: November 23, 2024 13:19
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"It's difficult to imagine one's own death. How much more impossible to imagine that human activities might mean extinction? ... To come into knowing is to come into sorrow. A sorrow that arrives as a thud, deadening and…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbmkzaxiks24
Published: November 23, 2024 13:11
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 23, 2024 ~ Waterworld.
"Runaway ice loss causing rapid and catastrophic sea-level rise is possible within our lifetimes. Whether such irreversible tipping points have already passed is unknown."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbmjmkxk7c2k
Published: November 23, 2024 12:46
Among other things, this is the type of policy required to reduce new CO2 emissions by 43% by 2030 -- and this is what is going to happen soon enough, either way.
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https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lblhxglmwc23
Published: November 23, 2024 02:44
Here is the next #climatecasino wager that is coming due. It will be finalized in early December.
I have a high degree of confidence that the UNDER bet will hold and the #climatecasino will make enough fake-profit to cover COP-29's climate finance deal.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbkylgfo2c25
Published: November 22, 2024 22:09
I'm going to do the standard deviation computation for this -- but I'm thinking at least 5, just based on visuals.
Yikes!!!
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbkwgegwzk2y
Published: November 22, 2024 21:30
Maybe if the word "exponential" had fewer syllables, fewer arm-chair scientists would use it to describe every curve they see that is concave up.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbkwdrjxjc2y
Published: November 22, 2024 21:29
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 22, 2024 ~ The carbon cycle is breaking.
"These fires and droughts led to substantial vegetation loss, weakening the land ecosystem’s ability to absorb carbon dioxide."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbk5w6zmt222
Published: November 22, 2024 14:12
More climate trivia -- here is a graph showing the single hottest day of each year, 1940 - 2024.
The only two years breaking 17.0°C are 2023 and 2024, with 2024 the hottest of them all. There appears to be a trend.
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbk4v6qbbc2u
Published: November 22, 2024 13:53
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"History will record the period of global dominance by Homo colossus as a brief interlude."
https://www.amazon.com/Overshoot-Ecological-Basis-Revolutionary-Change/dp/0252009886/
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbiptydc7224
Published: November 22, 2024 00:27
Exactly. Hope is de-motivating.
"...if you have hope maybe you'll just sit at home and be like yeah I hope things will get better like things things will probably turn around . There's hope, don't worry about it...."
…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbhqsxra2c2p
Published: November 21, 2024 15:12
Transparency!
This:
bsky.jazco.dev/stats
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbhjpshqbs24
Published: November 21, 2024 13:05
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"The end of nature is a plunge into the unknown, fearful as much because it is unknown as because it might be hot or dry or whipped by hurricanes."
https://www.amazon.com/End-Nature-Bill-McKibben/dp/0812976088/
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbhixajqi22h
Published: November 21, 2024 12:51
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 21, 2024 ~ Doing nothing with a purpose!
"All such approaches are substitutes for action, whose primary purpose is to enable governments to avoid conflict with powerful interests, especially the fossil fuel industry."…
https://bsky.app/profile/climatecasino.net/post/3lbg26g4hw22p
Published: November 20, 2024 22:54
The environmental movement started in 1970. We've been saving the planet for 54+ years.
I've been watching it happen my whole life: the suffering of animals, the loss of habitat, the destruction of ecosystems, the extinction of species, the death of the…